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I don't see your approach as direct or honest at all.
Of course you don't.
But it is direct and honest because it accounts for actual trends, which do not reduce to numbers. Abstract averages hide that. Though thanks for saying the 2 especially bad games in 2020 were outliers--that's saying they're exceptions. Which is what I think happened. They are exceptions that drive up the averages and make a false picture.
And take a guess about 2019 too. Were there especially bad games in 2019 with multiple turnovers that drove up the averages? (My guess is you didn't even look.) I would say yes--two. Tampa and Pittsburgh. Together they account for 7 turnovers.
Now back to 2020. You are taking two games that according to you are outliers and allowing them to distort the picture on Goff's 2020 turnover issues because when those 2 games get averaged in they inflate the numbers. What that hides is the fact that those 2 games were (as you said) outliers and exceptions in 2020.
You can keep arguing that it;s insignificant that the qb had 2 especially bad games with 7 turnovers in both combined, but I think it is significant. I think he had a crisis and fell apart but got back up and fixed the issue.
I think that's a truer picture then the one you get by hiding behind raw averages and not accounting for actual game history.
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