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zn
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dzrams
I'm not fine with ANY temporary blips.
Yeah you are.
You take 2 disaster games as indicative, just hide them by burying them in averages.
Here's a more direct and honest approach.
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I don't see your approach as direct or honest at all. In fact, a statistician would tell you that you're making an error by only taking out the bad outliers without also subtracting the good outliers. If we were going to do an honest subtract the outliers thing, we would also have to subtract his best game or two where he threw for lots of TDs and no turnovers.
But to prove that I'm not fine with temporary blips I will play your 'take away this bad stat statistical magic' game. Let's account for those bad games by magically erasing them from anyone's memory. Let's pretend they didn't happen.
From 2019-2020 he played 33 games (after subtracting those 2 bad games this year.)
In those 33 games, he had 44 TDs versus 34 TOs for a TD/TO ratio of 1.29.
That's awful! And that's after taking out his worst games.
In terms of TOs alone, he would still be in the top 4. Since 2019, the leading QBs with turnovers: Jones (39), Mayfield (35), Rivers (35), Goff (34)(after subtracting 7), Ryan (31), and Murray (30).
So since we agreed to delete the 2 bad games, let's talk about the other 33 games where he's 4th highest in TOs and has an extremely low TD/TO ratio of 1.29. What's your analysis on that?