ok thanks for feedback. I don't believe I said first rd talent must be taken in the 1st rd. yeah, rapp (probably 2nd rd talent imho) might be good, and kupp is great but also really 1/2nd rd talent). I just don't think you should look at it as you do...we don't need 1st rd picks because we will uncover gems with first rd talent in mid rounds. You need both, to find gems and to take the obvious 1st rd talent with first rd picks. You need both.
"So if the Rams with their 60% hit rate in the mid rounds are finding just as many difference makers as other teams are finding in the first round, then lacking 1sts doesn't hurt them much and they have a competitive advantage."
don't think I agree with this. all teams find gems late. Pitt drafted juju (end of 2nd) around same place we took kupp. they BOTH fell that year.