November 29, 2019 08:56AM
#1. Play Action% 1st and 2nd Downs-Score Differential 14 points or less

2019 Rams 48% YPA 7.9 %Dropbacks Pressured 19.7% (NFL Avg 23.7%)
2018 Rams 48.7% YPA 8.7 23.4%(NFL Avg 23.9%)
2017 Rams 43.4% YPA 11.4 28.1%(NFL Avg 24.8%)

#2. Non-PA, 1st and 2nd Downs-Score Differential 14 points or less

Yards Per Play

2019 4.7 (NFL 4.89)
2018 5.3 (NFL 5.08)
2017 4.7 (NFL 4.51)

Pressure Percentage (same criteria as #2)

2019 26% (NFL 23.2%)
2018 26.5% (NFL 22.8)
2017 28% (NFL 24.5)

#3. 1st and 2nd downs-Score Differential 14 points or less, all plays.

Conversion Percentage--First downs and TDs gained divided by # of offensive plays

2019 25.2% (NFL 25.3%)
2018 30.5% (NFL 26%)
2017 26.5% (NFL 23.4%)

#4. 3rd Down-Score Differential 14 points of less, all plays.

Pressure Percent

2019 39.7% (NFL 36%) Convert% 38.6% (39%)
2018 32.5% (NFL 33.5%) Convert% 44.2% (39.5%)
2017 27.7% (NFL 34%) Convert% 39.1% (42.3%)

So this is alot of info. My thoughts--our play action passing game is gaining less yardage, our non playaction game is gaining less yardage on 1st and 2nd downs.Pressure rates in both situations relatively the same-all better than 2017. Thus, we are making less 1st downs and TDs on first and second downs. Which causes us to see more 3rd downs. On 3rd down we see the Pressure Rate rocket upwards(it sucks to be in 3rd and medium,long in the NFL) and our 3rd down convert rate is the worst of the 3 years. So more 3rd downs, more pressure on those 3rd downs, and converting less of those 3rd downs.

Third down performance is the problem. But you dont solve, imo, the 3rd down problem by doing something different on 3rd down. The key to solving that problem is what you do on 1st and 2nd downs. The best way to convert a 3rd down? Avoid 3rd down entirely by gaining 1st downs or TDs on 1st and 2nd down. The problem with this offense is not QB pressure(that is inevitable on 3rd and 6+). The problem is not gaining enough yardage on 1st and 2nd downs. This, to me, is critical. If you are a coach do you practice more 3rd downs situations, develop more plays for 3rd downs--or do you focus on how your 1st and 2nd down production has fallen off a cliff? This is where you can gain a big competitive edge imo.

Working on a way to see stats like % of plays from 3rd and 7+, 2 and 10+, etc. Think that would be really helpful is pulling the truth out of these numbers.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  QB Ratings Under Pressure

dzrams971November 27, 2019 01:41PM

  We seem to be in two camps...

JamesJM384November 27, 2019 01:47PM

  I'm in both camps

RamUK239November 28, 2019 07:51AM

  Re: We know what he is

merlin269November 28, 2019 09:52PM

  Re: We know what he is

Rampage2K-209November 29, 2019 11:13AM

  I am with you

Los Angeles Lenny184November 29, 2019 08:58AM

  The camps are not mutually exclusive

waterfield215November 29, 2019 12:47PM

  Re: We seem to be in two camps...

zn423November 29, 2019 01:49PM

  no that is not what I am talking about

zn313November 27, 2019 01:56PM

  People are not in denial, ZN...

JamesJM266November 27, 2019 02:00PM

  Re: People are not in denial, ZN...

zn238November 27, 2019 02:01PM

  And I do not..

JamesJM243November 27, 2019 02:02PM

  Re: And I do not..

zn240November 27, 2019 02:06PM

  I HATE when you do that...

JamesJM294November 27, 2019 02:11PM

  Re: I HATE when you do that...

zn525November 27, 2019 05:11PM

  Re: And I do not..

21Dog236November 27, 2019 02:10PM

  Funny thing about all this...

JamesJM280November 27, 2019 02:12PM

  Re: People are not in denial, ZN...

Classicalwit237November 28, 2019 03:38PM

  Re: I've told you this several times...

dzrams325November 27, 2019 02:19PM

  Re: I've told you this several times...

zn275November 27, 2019 03:38PM

  Re: I've told you this several times...

dzrams245November 27, 2019 05:12PM

  Re: I've told you this several times...

zn221November 27, 2019 05:19PM

  Re: I've told you this several times...

dzrams250November 28, 2019 02:16PM

  Re: I've told you this several times...

zn212November 28, 2019 03:21PM

  Re: QB Ratings Under Pressure

SeattleRam234November 27, 2019 05:04PM

  Re: Yes...

dzrams221November 27, 2019 05:19PM

  Re: Yes...

zn228November 27, 2019 05:23PM

  Re: Yes...

SeattleRam230November 27, 2019 08:25PM

  Re: Yes...

dzrams278November 28, 2019 03:09PM

  Re: QB Ratings Under Pressure

zn243November 28, 2019 05:40AM

  Some relevant data

rampage666223November 28, 2019 02:46PM

  Re: QB Ratings Under Pressure - Why is this?

David Deacon446November 28, 2019 03:46AM

  Re: Good post...

dzrams195November 28, 2019 02:19PM

  A "top" O line

NewMexicoRam209November 28, 2019 04:44AM

  Re: Agree 100%.........

oldschoolramfan189November 28, 2019 06:37AM

  Good metrics ... one thing I'd mention ...

alyoshamucci257November 28, 2019 07:34AM

  Re: Brilliant question...

dzrams230November 28, 2019 07:10PM

  3 year data comparison and some thoughts.

rampage666195November 29, 2019 08:56AM

  Offense has a trio of issues

Drew2839309November 29, 2019 02:03AM

  I get it, he does not do well under pressure but when he has time he is a Super Bowl QB

Los Angeles Lenny661November 29, 2019 08:56AM

  Re: Sure...

dzrams197November 29, 2019 10:12AM

  I totally agree

Los Angeles Lenny288November 29, 2019 11:18AM

  Re: Challenging the Myth that No One does well Under Pressure

dzrams236November 29, 2019 12:12PM

  who said no one does well under pressure? you're barking up the wrong tree

zn178November 29, 2019 12:55PM

  Re: Doesn't matter what issue YOU were addressing...

dzrams205November 29, 2019 01:38PM

  yes it does

zn197November 29, 2019 01:55PM

  Re: I disagree...

dzrams181November 29, 2019 02:29PM

  Re: I disagree...

zn194November 29, 2019 04:36PM

  Re: I disagree...

george_allen216November 29, 2019 05:31PM

  Re: It's not hyperbole, it's evidence...

dzrams192November 29, 2019 06:02PM

  Re: It's not hyperbole, it's evidence...

rampage666205November 29, 2019 06:08PM

  Re: It's not hyperbole, it's evidence...

dzrams184November 29, 2019 06:23PM

  Re: It's not hyperbole, it's evidence...

rampage666311November 29, 2019 07:01PM

  Re: It's not hyperbole, it's evidence...

zn176November 29, 2019 07:43PM

  Re: It's not hyperbole, it's evidence...

rampage666195November 30, 2019 08:36AM

  Re: It's not hyperbole, it's evidence...

zn184November 30, 2019 09:18AM

  that's not evidence my friend it's conjecture

zn202November 29, 2019 06:37PM

  Re: Not conjecture b/c my conclusion is supported by evidence....

dzrams180November 29, 2019 07:12PM

  Re: Not conjecture b/c my conclusion is supported by evidence....

zn305November 29, 2019 07:27PM

  Re: Not conjecture b/c my conclusion is supported by evidence....

rampage666171November 29, 2019 07:54PM

  Re: 1st half vs 2nd half of 2018...

dzrams185November 29, 2019 08:53PM

  Re: 1st half vs 2nd half of 2018...

zn176November 29, 2019 10:30PM

  Re: 1st half vs 2nd half of 2018...

rampage666206November 30, 2019 06:21AM

  Re: 1st half vs 2nd half of 2018...

zn294November 30, 2019 09:27AM

  Re: 1st half vs 2nd half of 2018...

rampage666177November 30, 2019 09:51AM

  Re: 1st half vs 2nd half of 2018...

zn180November 30, 2019 11:29AM

  Re: 1st half vs 2nd half of 2018...

dzrams186November 30, 2019 05:13PM

  Re: 1st half vs 2nd half of 2018...

zn192December 01, 2019 03:43AM

  For the record

Drew2839197November 29, 2019 06:20PM

  Re: I got you...

dzrams179November 29, 2019 06:36PM

  Re: Challenging the Myth that No One does well Under Pressure

rampage666210November 29, 2019 02:10PM

  Re: Couple of questions for you...

dzrams184November 29, 2019 03:29PM

  Re: Couple of questions for you...

rampage666192November 29, 2019 04:20PM