Quote
dzrams
You may not like my conclusions but what facts would you add to it?
What I criticize is your premises.
You mix up 2nd, 3rd, and 4th contracts (the league treats those differently--2nd contracts are a thing of their own).
You don't go by the year. The year means everything.
You don't distinguish between starting, franchise players and then just other guys, though the league does and the numbers do.
Here's an example. Quarterback.
Since 2012, quarterbacks considered franchise guys or perpetual starters got one level of 2nd contract numbers--and it absolutely went up every year.
That would be Newton, Luck, Wilson, Cousins, Carr, Dalton, Garoppolo, Wentz, and Goff
Okay.
Now what about players who were not considered starting, franchise caliber players? They did NOT get the annual going rate the first list did. So as to not confuse things I will stick to just first round qbs. Guys who did NOT get a given year's starting caliber market value include:
Tannenhill, Bortles, Griffen, Bridgewater, Ponder, Gabbert, Locker, Weedon, Manual, Manziel.
For some that was because of injury. But not all.
So 2 things.
* 2nd contracts for starting caliber, franchise guys go up every year. Check the contracts on my first list. They HAVE TO go up every year because the contracts mirror the cap and the cap goes up.
* Guys who are on the iffy 2nd list don't get the same annual increase. That is why every time I discuss 2nd contracts I talk about the numbers for guys considered starters and/or franchise players.
You want the same for WR?
In 2018 these guys got around 16 M: Evens, Cook, Watkins.
In 2019 these guys got around 18-19 M: Beckham, Hill, Thomas.
If as we're finding out...and in contrast to what I said earlier--slot receivers have their own market, then that too would go up.
So for example Thielen got around 16 M in 2019, Landry got around 15 M in 2018.
