Quote
BearlyThere
He is having to account for all kinds of blitzers in this offense he is not comfortable doing. He'd be better off going back to the shotgun and spread offense where he has more targets and less blitzers.

To me these are the plausible explanations of Goff's regression (and it is likely a combination of these):
1. Goff is over-coached. Let the dude play and not be thinking about a million ways he could screw up.
2. Personal have changed. Less good targets and more guys staying in to block. OL inconsistent.
3. Offense philosophy to keep more guys back and protecting then delayed leak out is making for harder reads on the QB
4. Goff Wealth/GF have made him less hungry
5. QB/HC relationship has soured and affected his play
6. Goff has gotten hit enough that he is finally feeling his mortality and has become gun shy
7. Goff has some kind of shoulder injury affecting his arm and deep ball that is undisclosed

I agree with a lot of what you say here and some of your speculations.

But not the one sentence I bolded in red.

Goff was actually pretty good overall against the blitz. His qb rating against the blitz in 2020 was 101.0. He completed 65.7% of his passes against the blitz, had an INT percentage of 1.61% against the blitz, TD percentage of 9.14%, and was sacked only 4 times for a sack percentage of 2.1%.

To give a sense of comparison, here was Stafford against the blitz in 2020. Qb rating of 86.1, 60% completions, INT percentage of 2.76%. TD percentage of 4.8%, and a sack percentage of 11.7%.

I am hoping that Stafford's numbers against the blitz in 2021 are more like Goff's, actually. It is true that Detroit did not have a running game and also played from behind a huge percentage of the time, which can tilt passing numbers (including against the blitz). Last year 64.77% of Stafford's attempts were when the Lions were behind.


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Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 03/01/2021 09:32AM by zn.