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David Deacon
I think I am very much in agreement with you 43. I also agree that with better player development you get better results.
I reiterate my view that the majority of the offensive misses before McVay were just bad picks. But that (finally) aside---in contrast to missing on several offensive picks, look at this detail. Research says that a team is doing well picking in the third round if it hits on 35%. From 2012 to 2018, the Rams had 9 3rd round picks. 2 of them left football for non-football reasons (Bailey and Mason). So really it's 7. The only real non-hit out of those is Mannion. (McDonald and Johnson left but they are both starters on their respective teams so they're hits). The Rams were 6 of 7 in the 3rd round, which is 85.7%, more than twice the 35% that is the standard.
Every GM, the best GM's of all time all have made picks that haven't worked out. Snead has some real stinkers in GRob and Austin both taken in the the top 10. He also has some other misses as you have mentioned. Snead seems to have improved his percentage of makes versus misses and is above average in this area. What sets him apart is that he has hit on some stars. Donald, Goff and Gurley. Even Jenkins made the pro bowl but with the Giants. What set him apart is that he took a roster with almost now talent and has built it to a Super Bowl caliber roster with lots of hits and bit hits. He has improved since McVay has been on board in acquiring talent. I think that being on the same page with McVay limits the huge busts but when you have a winning record and pick late and not even in the first round the size of you busts become smaller and if you hit it becomes a bigger "steal".
