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ASSUMING a team will make a good pick is fallacy. It in no way demonstrates what a crap shoot drafting can be. Look at historical picks taken at any point in the draft and then considering how those picks did is a valid way of looking at probability of success in drafting based on historical data. We can all agree that in any given year there are better players who were availble at pick 23 but not chosen, in fact there are players who were never drafted who are Hall of Famers. A more realistic assumption is that a team will attempt to chose the best player for them at each pick. Some are better at it than others, some are unlucky with injuries etc. It’s about risk. Taking a known productive player for a first here was a move which eliminated the risk inherent in the draft.
Yeah, I think the original point was pretty clear...it's not about the "curse" of pick 23.... It's about the crap shoot aka the NFL Draft.
The Rams basically drafted a 24 year old built in Pro Bowler.....the only gamble is figuring out how to keep him at least 5 years at this point.
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