Welcome! Log In Create A New Profile

Advanced

Don’t be fooled. New data suggests that the lockdowns were a Colossal mistake...

June 29, 2020 04:54PM
Don't Be Fooled, Recent Coronavirus Data Suggests the Lockdowns Were a Colossal Mistake

[pjmedia.com]

Matt Margolis


In various states across the nation, there’s been a noticeable trend of an increase in coronavirus cases. While this fact makes the headlines, the detail that seems to get overlooked is the fact that deaths have declined. Florida, Arizona, Texas, California, and Ohio are among the states that have experienced spikes in cases but have maintained declining death rates or no spike in deaths.

How is this possible? Conventional wisdom suggests that a spike in cases should result in a spike in deaths, but that has not panned out. The protests and riots following George Floyd’s death have been going on for nearly a month now. Surely a spike in deaths should shave occurred by now. But so far, it hasn’t.

Why not?

According to Justin Hart, an information architect and data analyst from San Diego, “who” gets the virus is just as important as “how many” get the virus. “Right now the average age of infected cases has dropped nearly 20 years,” Hart told PJ Media.

White House Coronavirus Task Force Member Dr. Anthony Fauci acknowledged this fact last week: “The overwhelming majority of people who are now getting infected are young people, like the people that you see in the clips in the paper or out in the crowds enjoying themselves.”

Why does this matter, you ask? Let me explain.

Coronavirus data says risk is low for most Americans

Young people, possibly from the recent protests and riots, are likely behind the recent spike in cases, and that tells us a lot about why the data looks the way it does right now. According to the CDC’s current best estimate, the fatality rate of the coronavirus for symptomatic cases only are as follows:

0-49 years old: .05%
50-64 years old: .2%
65+ years old: 1.3%
Overall ages: .4%
When you take into account that approximately 30% of coronavirus infections are asymptomatic, that drives the fatality rate down even further. “The risk of death for the general population of school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride to work,” notes Josh Ketter on Medium.

Professor Mark Woolhouse, an expert in infectious diseases in Scotland, led a study that determined current lockdown restrictions could be easily lifted as long the most vulnerable populations are left protected. According to Woolhouse, for the non-vulnerable population, the coronavirus is comparable to a “nasty flu.”

Lockdowns should have focused on protecting the vulnerable

What the data is clearly telling us is that the lockdowns were not implemented correctly. While there is a significant risk for the older, at-risk population, for those under 65 years of age, the economy could have been kept open. Schools didn’t have to close down, and “non-essential” businesses could have continued to serve the public, many of whom had as much a chance of dying from the coronavirus as they did dying on their daily commute, but the lockdowns kept everyone, including the young and healthy, at home. We could have worn masks out in public to help slow the spread and flatten the curve to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed. Life could have remained relatively normal, and the economy didn’t have to suffer the way it did.

“We knew early on that younger cohorts managed very well,” Hart explained to PJ Media. “We should have let that group thrive to keep the economy going while protecting the vulnerable.”

Protecting the vulnerable is where many, particularly New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, went wrong. On March 25, Cuomo ordered nursing homes to accept patients regardless of their coronavirus status. Even back then, it was known that the elderly were more vulnerable to the virus, so having coronavirus patients in nursing homes allowed the virus to spread like wildfire. Cuomo tried to cover up his deadly mistake before ultimately rescinding the order on May 11.

Nursing home patients represent a mere .46 percent of the United States population but account for approximately 43 percent of all coronavirus deaths. States should have protected them better from the beginning. Had they, we could have had a more strategic approach to the coronavirus lockdowns that allowed businesses and schools to stay open while quarantining the vulnerable.

The one-size-fits-all approach was a mistake

If school and working-age Americans understood that their risk of dying from the coronavirus was roughly the same as it is of dying during a daily car ride, do you think they’d want to continue the lockdowns? I don’t think so. Whether people realize it or not, every day they are making an assessment of risk as they go about their lives. It was true before the coronavirus, during it, and it will continue to be afterward. Is it really worth being afraid of living given the extremely low risk of fatality for a majority of the population? We should redirect resources to protecting the vulnerable and let the rest of us get this country working again.

The United States isn’t alone

Israel is also experiencing a second wave of cases that is mostly occurring in younger people. Israel did not experience the protests and rioting we had in the United States, but bars, beaches, and school reopened, causing a spike in cases, but, as you can see from the graphs from Worldometer, no spike in deaths.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Covid-19: The nursing home disease...

Rams43875June 24, 2020 08:57AM

  Re: Covid-19: The nursing home disease...

zn352June 24, 2020 01:08PM

  Re: Covid-19: The nursing home disease...

Rams43315June 27, 2020 08:58AM

  Re: Covid-19: The nursing home disease...

RAMbeau384June 24, 2020 02:43PM

  Three questions, RAMbeau...

Rams43357June 27, 2020 09:17AM

  Three Answers. . .

RAMbeau397June 27, 2020 11:04AM

  Re: Three Answers. . .

Rams43306June 29, 2020 09:46AM

  . Exactly. . .

RAMbeau427June 29, 2020 10:40AM

  I get it very well....

roman18332June 29, 2020 10:53AM

  Unfortunately I agree with you on this point:

waterfield355June 30, 2020 09:13AM

  Re: Three questions, RAMbeau...

waterfield345June 27, 2020 11:48AM

  Re: Covid-19: The nursing home disease...

AlbaNY_Ram490June 24, 2020 03:14PM

  Re: A practical scenario

AlbaNY_Ram441June 25, 2020 01:09AM

  the real issue with nursing homes

zn455June 25, 2020 01:17AM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

Rams43349June 27, 2020 09:05AM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

zn406June 27, 2020 02:52PM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

AlbaNY_Ram297June 27, 2020 04:09PM

  Re: sliced another way

AlbaNY_Ram315June 28, 2020 03:55AM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

Rams43482June 29, 2020 09:51AM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

CeeZar322June 29, 2020 10:15AM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

AlbaNY_Ram393June 29, 2020 10:28AM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

AlbaNY_Ram383June 29, 2020 10:25AM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

Rams43278June 29, 2020 02:10PM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

AlbaNY_Ram289June 29, 2020 03:51PM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

Rams43383June 29, 2020 05:06PM

  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

AlbaNY_Ram318June 30, 2020 01:21AM

  Re: my last try

AlbaNY_Ram341June 30, 2020 09:04AM

  Re: my last try

zn361June 30, 2020 09:12AM

  Re: my last try

Rams43358June 30, 2020 12:59PM

  I'm a nursing home medical director......

NewMexicoRam331July 02, 2020 03:04PM

  Re: A practical scenario

Rams43373June 27, 2020 09:02AM

  Re: A practical scenario

AlbaNY_Ram417June 27, 2020 12:00PM

  Don’t be fooled. New data suggests that the lockdowns were a Colossal mistake...

Rams43385June 29, 2020 04:54PM

  Re: Don’t be fooled.....PJ Media is a far right political site

Rampage2K-348June 29, 2020 07:54PM

  Re: Don’t be fooled.....PJ Media is a far right political site

Rams43344June 29, 2020 08:15PM

  Re: Don’t be fooled.....PJ Media is a far right political site

Rampage2K-366June 29, 2020 09:04PM

  Re: Don’t be fooled.....PJ Media is a far right political site

zn360June 29, 2020 09:28PM

  National Mask Mandate Could Save The U.S. Economy $1 Trillion

zn401July 02, 2020 02:13AM

  Re: National Mask Mandate Could Save The U.S. Economy $1 Trillion

AlbaNY_Ram411July 02, 2020 03:16AM

  Re: National Mask Mandate Could Save The U.S. Economy $1 Trillion

zn410July 02, 2020 04:14AM

  protesting did not cause any spike in infections

zn422July 02, 2020 10:17AM

  Re: protesting did not cause any spike in infections...yeah, ok

Rampage2K-375July 03, 2020 09:49AM

  that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

zn425July 03, 2020 10:02AM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

Rampage2K-324July 03, 2020 10:14AM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

zn385July 03, 2020 11:08AM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

waterfield296July 03, 2020 11:12AM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

zn292July 03, 2020 12:12PM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

AlbaNY_Ram311July 03, 2020 11:33AM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

Rampage2K-328July 03, 2020 11:58AM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

AlbaNY_Ram327July 03, 2020 01:08PM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

zn318July 03, 2020 01:25PM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

AlbaNY_Ram300July 03, 2020 03:20PM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

Rampage2K-318July 03, 2020 03:47PM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

waterfield318July 03, 2020 05:18PM

  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

zn331July 03, 2020 12:14PM

  "every covid patient was a" .

zn361July 06, 2020 05:50AM

  herd immunity may be 'unachievable' because antibodies disappear after a few weeks in some people

zn251July 07, 2020 04:46AM

  Herd immunity may be closer than you think

PHDram386July 07, 2020 05:09AM

  Re: Herd immunity may be closer than you think

Rampage2K-283July 07, 2020 07:25AM

  Re: Herd immunity may be closer than you think

zn287July 07, 2020 07:33AM

  Re: herd immunity may be 'unachievable' #2

zn312July 07, 2020 07:27AM

  Immunity may be more widespread than tests suggest

PHDram240July 07, 2020 08:31AM

  Re: Immunity may be more widespread than tests suggest

AlbaNY_Ram267July 07, 2020 09:14AM

  i didnt write the article nor the title

PHDram243July 07, 2020 09:39AM

  Re: Immunity may be more widespread than tests suggest

zn263July 07, 2020 11:39AM

  Re: herd immunity may be 'unachievable' #3

zn336July 07, 2020 08:49AM

  truth and scientific integrity

PHDram261July 07, 2020 09:43AM

  Type in Covid19 and any 3 numbers.....any 3

ferragamo79343July 07, 2020 07:08AM

  Re: Type in Covid19 and any 3 numbers.....any 3

Rampage2K-422July 07, 2020 07:19AM