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Re: the real issue with nursing homes

June 29, 2020 03:51PM
CA has 147,000 workers in in licensed long-term care facilities. [www.cahf.org]
NY has 205,000. [www.lohud.com]

NY easily had 10 times as many infected staff as CA and likely 14 times more (based on mortality rates of the general populations in both states). Just to illustrate the impact, assume a 1% infection rate in CA: that would translate to 1,470 infected workers in CA and somewhere between 20,500 and 28,700 infected workers in NY. The actual numbers are probably different but the ratios would be the same: around 15 times as many infected workers taking care of nursing home patients in NY than in CA.

To break that down, that's an average of 1.2 infected staff per facility in CA and around 35.2 infected staff per facility in NY. Do you think that might impact how many residents catch COVID?

CA has approximately 1,230 licensed long-term care nursing facilities. [www.cahf.org].
NY has 627. [www.dibbern.com]

CA has an average of 82 residents per facility, NY has an average of 162. Could having nearly twice the resident density contribute to the spread of COVID in a particular facility?

CA has 120,000 nursing home beds. [canhr.org]
NY has 116,000. [www.dibbern.com]

CA's vacancy rate is 15.8%, NY's is 12.5%. Not a big difference, but wouldn't you think having a little extra space would be a positive?

Ignoring these variables (and likely many others) when talking about nursing home fatalities is as ridiculous as my nonsenical-to-make-a-point comment about earthquakes.



AlbaNY_Ram



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 06/29/2020 04:20PM by AlbaNY_Ram.
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  Re: Three Answers. . .

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  Re: Three questions, RAMbeau...

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  Re: Covid-19: The nursing home disease...

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  Re: A practical scenario

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  the real issue with nursing homes

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  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

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  Re: the real issue with nursing homes

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  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

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  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

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  Re: that's what the medical people are saying, like it or not

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