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Re: the real issue with nursing homes

June 29, 2020 09:51AM
Quote
AlbaNY_Ram
California population: 39.51M
New York State population: 19.45M

California nursing home residents: 101,030 (.0026%)
New York State nursing home residents: 101,518 (.0052%, exactly twice the rate of California)
[www.kff.org]

California covid deaths as a percentage of total deaths: 37% (2,154 nursing home deaths/5,873 total deaths)
New York State covid deaths as a percentage of total deaths: 20% (6,158 nursing home deaths/31,105 total deaths)
[calmatters.org]
[www.health.ny.gov] (Note: NYS covid deaths is a sum of 3,550 confirmed & 2,608 presumed)

I would expect any demographic (including nursing home residents) to fare worse in New York State than in California simply because New York was a worse coronavirus situation than California.

But look: New York State has twice the relative nursing home population and yet the percentage of deaths in nursing homes is practically half.

So, yeah, NYS has almost 3 times as many nursing home deaths. But the nursing homes don't exist in a vacuum: NYS' nursing homes existed a completely different environment than those in California, and taking those environmental differences into account, California's nursing home residents were nearly 4 times worse off: half the relative population, almost twice the death rate compared to the general population.

I’m stunned, AlbaNY.

Virtually identical nursing home populations, yet 3 times the Covid deaths in New York? End of story for me. All else seems like tortured rationalizations, tbh.
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  the real issue with nursing homes

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