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Steve
AD might be the best D lineman in the last 40 years (haven't studied Watt)--no one else is close. If AD is a 10, Warren Sapp might be an 8.5 at best,and he is a HOFer.
And, we all want what is 'due'.
What is Donald due? I am convinced that no one knows, not even AD. When we look back we will know. I think $23 is more than fair;
if AD wants $25 because he wants QB range, then I have to wonder about his ego. If he wants $25 mill because he thinks in 3 years that will be the going rate maybe he is smarter than all of us---and maybe he has projected out the number's like Poston did for Orlando Pace. So, maybe is fiar, and in 2020 we will have 20/20 on his true value after we win a few bowls.
In my opinion,
AD isn't as valuable any QB who is in the top 25 at his position---not even close; anyone who can't see that is....well...just my opinion. AD was probably as valuable as Goff was in 2016---Goff's ability to lose a game was as powerful as AD's ability to win it....ok, but really, if Donald misses a game, is he as valuable as Eli Mannning missing a game in 2016....really, what is your answer? My answer is: Eli blows away his back up.They would have no chance with out Eli (of course last years 3 wins was an anamoly for the Giants, so bad example, lol)
I have negotiated my salary 5 times, and 4 of the times was out of ego and what can I get----how valuable am I really.
I must be wrong, again
Best question yet: What starting QB is AD as valuable as? Bradford? no way; Keenum? no way.
You pose some good questions. I'll give my opinion in answer and pose a few of mine.
If Eli is valuable, why did they only win 3 games? Could they be paying a ton of money to a past his prime QB that's not gonna help them win playoff games?
Is value the same as impact? You seem to be making them synonymous and I feel there is a difference.
Take 2016 Goff. He had a lot of impact on games but I wouldn't call that valuable. His ability to lose a game is a measure of impact. Value, on the other hand, would look more towards ones impact in winning a game.
Value IMO is made up of impact on game + difficulty in replacing the player. IOW, in economic terms it would be a supply and demand equation.
Impact (demand) / rareness & transcendent talent (supply) = value.
Keenum, because he plays the QB position is in great demand and impacts the game. Donald as a pass rusher provides a skill set that's less in demand than QB.
However, when it comes to supply, you could search for 10 years and may never find another Donald. Whereas 5 Keenum's or greater are found in one year.
That's why ultimately Keenum is a much less valuable player than AD. His position is in great demand but he's not rare nor possesses transcendent talent at all.