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Re: Looking at the extra picks...

May 05, 2018 10:23AM
Quote
zn
Quote
dzrams
Quote
Speedball89
The Rams had a bunch of extra picks so those numbers are inflated.

2012
Brockers - good

2013
TA - bad
Ogletree - good

2014
GRob - bad
Donald - good

2015
Gurley - good

2016
Goff - good

2017 & 2018
N/A

That looks like 5 out of 7 were good picks to me which is 71%. That's an above average 1st round hit rate.

And it looks like they have at least one future HOF'er in that list which makes the results phenomenal.
\

Your count is correct btw, mine was off for some reason. Anyway, on numbers being inflated? That's ridiculous reasoning. We did percentages not "numbers." Percentages equalize. Ask the Rams in the wake of the Dickerson trade if high numbers of high picks automatically means a high success rate. '

...

I agree.

Having 1st round picks is no guarantee of anything especially when the average hit rate has been reported to be as low as 50%.

Also just a note on my calculation, I listed TA as a bad pick even though as you pointed out we did get some production from him.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Getting real about draft picks

RockRam1213May 05, 2018 04:17AM

  with good draft teams it's usually better than 1 in 7

zn301May 05, 2018 04:26AM

  Re: with good draft teams it's usually better than 1 in 7

zn258May 05, 2018 06:00AM

  Like Gamo said

Speedball89231May 05, 2018 09:15AM

  Re: Looking at the extra picks...

dzrams218May 05, 2018 10:09AM

  Re: Looking at the extra picks...

zn239May 05, 2018 10:16AM

  Re: Looking at the extra picks...

dzrams182May 05, 2018 10:23AM

  Let's talk about ridiculous

Speedball89208May 05, 2018 10:28AM

  Re: Looking at the extra picks...

Speedball89177May 05, 2018 10:22AM

  You have to take into account when they picked...

jemach223May 05, 2018 04:37PM

  Re: You have to take into account when they picked...

zn351May 05, 2018 04:51PM

  It's not many who were...

jemach161May 06, 2018 05:37AM

  the decade part does not matter...many many teams picked high over the years

zn169May 06, 2018 05:44AM

  Re: I have...

dzrams153May 05, 2018 04:53PM

  Re: I have...

jemach146May 06, 2018 05:42AM

  Re: I have...

zn139May 06, 2018 07:13AM

  Top 10, Bottom 10 comparison....

max148May 06, 2018 07:40AM

  Re: Top 10, Bottom 10 comparison....

zn241May 06, 2018 07:46AM

  From a personal perspective...

jemach147May 06, 2018 08:19AM

  my view

zn116May 06, 2018 08:33AM

  A sad memory of a GM picking in the top 10...

jemach114May 07, 2018 05:47PM

  Re: A sad memory of a GM picking in the top 10...

zn105May 08, 2018 05:59AM

  Re: Top 10, Bottom 10 comparison....

max141May 06, 2018 09:18AM

  Re: Top 10, Bottom 10 comparison....

zn157May 06, 2018 09:56AM

  Well, yeah, but you better stop there...

max140May 06, 2018 10:32AM

  nope keep going

zn135May 06, 2018 11:25AM

  Re: it doesn't matter...

dzrams137May 06, 2018 11:55AM

  Oh but he can!

jemach99May 07, 2018 05:49PM

  Re: Really? Your data suggests otherwise...

dzrams134May 06, 2018 11:50AM

  Re: 2nd round research...

dzrams150May 06, 2018 04:25PM

  Re: 2nd round research...

zn139May 06, 2018 04:45PM

  Re: 2nd round research...

dzrams202May 06, 2018 05:30PM

  Re: 2nd round research...

zn149May 06, 2018 05:36PM

  Re: 2nd round research...

dzrams142May 06, 2018 05:49PM

  Great point...

max159May 06, 2018 07:19AM

  Re: Great point...

zn192May 06, 2018 07:43AM

  Common knowledge.

max189May 06, 2018 09:09AM

  I am not sure what if anything it actually tells us

zn150May 06, 2018 09:50AM

  Please read the Thaler Massey paper

max135May 06, 2018 09:53AM

  Re: Please read the Thaler Massey paper

zn162May 06, 2018 09:58AM

  Re: Please read the Thaler Massey paper

max179May 06, 2018 10:53AM

  Re: Please read the Thaler Massey paper

zn138May 06, 2018 11:29AM

  Re: Please read the Thaler Massey paper

max123May 07, 2018 04:32AM

  Re: Please read the Thaler Massey paper

zn146May 07, 2018 04:44AM

  Re: Please read the Thaler Massey paper

max135May 07, 2018 07:03AM

  so why is garropplo a hit

PHDram305May 07, 2018 07:44AM

  yes. Hit rate may change. See RG3.

max135May 07, 2018 10:59AM

  Re: yes. Hit rate may change. See RG3.

zn107May 07, 2018 12:27PM

  Re: yes. Hit rate may change. See RG3.

max143May 07, 2018 12:38PM

  Re: yes. Hit rate may change. See RG3.

zn107May 07, 2018 03:13PM

  Re: yes. Hit rate may change. See RG3.

max128May 07, 2018 04:09PM

  Re: yes. Hit rate may change. See RG3.

zn135May 07, 2018 04:19PM

  Re: yes. Hit rate may change. See RG3.

PHDram210May 07, 2018 01:30PM

  Average number of games started

PHDram240May 07, 2018 03:55AM

  Yes, and the study was updated recently

max141May 07, 2018 03:58AM

  Do you have a link?

PHDram109May 07, 2018 04:00AM

  Re: Do you have a link?

max128May 07, 2018 04:16AM

  Re: Do you have a link?

PHDram135May 07, 2018 04:29AM

  Re: Good point... So using Max's research...

dzrams147May 06, 2018 12:05PM

  Here's a good benchmark, The Pats...

max200May 06, 2018 02:17PM

  Re: Here's a good benchmark, The Pats...

zn132May 06, 2018 02:35PM

  Well, yeah, by nature I'm a seeker of truth...

max139May 06, 2018 03:12PM

  That Can't Be...

RamBill153May 06, 2018 05:13PM

  thing is what's a starter

ferragamo79170May 05, 2018 08:15AM

  Re: thing is what's a starter

Ramsdude149May 05, 2018 09:27AM

  this is not mysterious

zn150May 05, 2018 10:18AM

  If its obvious

PHDram159May 05, 2018 10:28AM

  Answer me this

zn217May 05, 2018 03:12PM

  what about Mo Alexander or

ferragamo79160May 05, 2018 03:51PM

  Re: what about Mo Alexander or

zn323May 05, 2018 04:09PM

  So were going with the I know it when I see it approach?

PHDram147May 06, 2018 06:10AM

  no (nm)

zn143May 06, 2018 06:59AM

  It sure seems so. NM

PHDram131May 06, 2018 09:22AM

  Alexander was cut in year 3

Speedball89304May 06, 2018 09:36AM

  And this is why

PHDram144May 06, 2018 09:47AM

  Ok

PHDram237May 06, 2018 05:29AM

  a Depth Draft...is how I look at it.

SunTzu_vs_Camus210May 05, 2018 04:30AM

  Re: a Depth Draft...is how I look at it.

zn218May 05, 2018 05:52AM

  agreed....which would be crazy good with the picks we started with #89. imo

SunTzu_vs_Camus158May 06, 2018 01:36AM

  Re: Getting real about draft picks

Rams43284May 05, 2018 06:15AM

  I hope you're right. (nm)

RockRam151May 05, 2018 07:12AM

  Yes, but that's why......

NewMexicoRam173May 05, 2018 07:15AM

  my hope about our 2018 draft picks

LMU93169May 06, 2018 10:25AM

  which means that maybe trading down

Rams_81128May 07, 2018 08:08AM