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TonyHunter87
Because thats how many he had last year. No theories are going to change that. He'll probably do better with more targets but he's an average receiver at best, and his stats back it up.
That's WHO he is. And that is what they paid for (it isn't but that's a different point, I will get to that). Meaning, he will only have 1 TD in 2017? Go ahead and say that's what you think if it is because then at the end of the season, we can bump this thread and determine.
Now to the deferred point. Teams do not pay for past production when it comes to a 2nd contract. They pay for what they project to be production for them, from that point on. That is, simplistic calculations where you divide millions by TDs are really just for the internet and fans. It's not how teams do business. You can have a guy who is productive and your contract says he will continue. You can have a guy who you claim will be more productive and that's what your contract says.
Meanwhile of course, teams also do not settle on one abstract number to make calculations like this. They will notice, for example, that his targets went up 240% in the games last year when Watkins was out. They will also notice that his catch rate was 67%, which is good, and they will notice that Buffalo was 32nd in passing attempts, which limited all their WRs. They will also notice that Buffalo was 27th in passing TDs, which means everyone's numbers were deflated.
6.8 M a year for a solid WR who offers instant young veteran stability is a bargain. IF he somehow manages to have just 1 TD in 2017, you might have a point.
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