May 09, 2020 06:22AM
Quote
Rams43


Question. Isn’t the morbidity rate of the annual flu around 0.1%?

No. That's a misconception promoted by some people on Fox.

First, the differences between flu numbers and covid-19 numbers. Based on this:

[www.washingtonpost.com]

With the flu they give us 2 sets of numbers.

One is actual deaths directly known to be caused by the flu, or at least with the flu as a major factor pushing someone with other conditions over the brink.

Flu actual deaths for 2018-2019: 7,172

But the medical system figures that is not a realistic number, so they have a projected number meant to capture deaths that were caused or pushed by the flu but did not get recorded as such. So they use a mathematical model to estimate it.

Estimated (not confirmed) flu deaths for 2018-2019: 26,339 to 52,664

With covid-19 the number of confirmed deaths given today is 75,670

So if you compare ACTUAL known deaths to ACTUAL known deaths, not estimated but known, it's 7+ thousand for the flu in 2 years, and 75+ thousand for covid-19 in 2 months.

What people do who try to make the flu and covid-19 look similar is take the ESTIMATED deaths from the flu and compare that to the ACTUAL deaths from covid-19.

They don't have an estimated deaths number for covid-19, that is cases of deaths caused or driven by covid-19 but not reported. But that number is HIGHER than ACTUAL (known, confirmed) deaths.

If you want an actual comparison it should be estimated deaths for the flu v. estimated deaths for covid-19.

According to a LOW estimate, the mortality rate for covid-19 as of today is said to be 1.3%. For the flu it's as you said 0.1%

That means if 100 M people get the flu, according to that number that's 100,000 deaths.

If 100 M people get covid-19, that's 1.3 M deaths.

....
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  11/29/2020 49ers v. Rams. There!!!

Ekern55703May 07, 2020 04:51PM

  doubt they will have fans in stadiums

ferragamo79250May 07, 2020 04:52PM

  Re: doubt they will have fans in stadiums

Ekern55240May 07, 2020 04:55PM

  Re: doubt they will have fans in stadiums

Rampage2K-219May 07, 2020 05:03PM

  Here in Maryland

Ram_Ruler259May 07, 2020 05:04PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

Ekern55229May 07, 2020 05:09PM

  Got tix to 2 games already

Ram_Ruler476May 07, 2020 05:10PM

  so that means its gonna work?

ferragamo79215May 07, 2020 06:16PM

  Re: so that means its gonna work?

waterfield198May 07, 2020 06:28PM

  Idk Man I'm just telling you what the article said

Ram_Ruler220May 07, 2020 06:59PM

  Re: Idk Man I'm just telling you what the article said

waterfield257May 08, 2020 12:40PM

  Re: Idk Man I'm just telling you what the article said

Ram_Ruler190May 08, 2020 12:51PM

  keep in mind if they develop a vaccine

ferragamo79278May 08, 2020 01:22PM

  Best of luck to you. Wishing you good health

Ram_Ruler194May 08, 2020 02:10PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

waterfield218May 07, 2020 06:28PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

Rampage2K-256May 07, 2020 06:59PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

AlbaNY_Ram195May 07, 2020 11:36PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

chico n da rams193May 08, 2020 12:20PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

waterfield182May 08, 2020 01:04PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

waterfield190May 08, 2020 12:52PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

Rampage2K-199May 08, 2020 01:30PM

  According to the researchers at University of Maryland

Ram_Ruler199May 08, 2020 02:08PM

  Re: According to the researchers at University of Maryland

Rampage2K-193May 08, 2020 02:13PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

waterfield189May 08, 2020 02:11PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

Rampage2K-189May 08, 2020 02:14PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

zn231May 08, 2020 08:30PM

  Re: Yup (nm)

AlbaNY_Ram171May 09, 2020 06:11AM

  Re: Here in Maryland

zn381May 08, 2020 08:39PM

  Good stuff. thx. nm

max163May 09, 2020 05:55AM

  you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

ferragamo79274May 08, 2020 01:24PM

  and that's IF we can develop natural immunity to covid-19

zn192May 08, 2020 03:10PM

  Re: and that's IF we can develop natural immunity to covid-19

waterfield188May 08, 2020 08:06PM

  Key points

PHDram160May 09, 2020 06:15AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

AlbaNY_Ram208May 09, 2020 04:54AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

Rams43175May 09, 2020 05:48AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

AlbaNY_Ram165May 09, 2020 06:10AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

Rams43145May 09, 2020 06:19AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

zn193May 09, 2020 06:22AM

  Re: Thanks: I didn't know that! (nm)

AlbaNY_Ram191May 09, 2020 06:33AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

Rams43213May 09, 2020 06:37AM

  For the sake of argument

PHDram277May 09, 2020 08:01AM

  I believe they were testing three strains

Ram_Ruler218May 07, 2020 07:01PM

  Re: doubt they will have fans in stadiums

Classicalwit191May 08, 2020 03:14PM

  doubt that

ferragamo79184May 09, 2020 07:04AM