You ignored my larger point. Namely, that unknown factors seem to prevent seasonal flu morbidity from exceeding numbers in the 20,000 to 50,000 range if 0.1% is even remotely accurate.
Why wouldn’t the same unknown factors occur regarding Covid-19?
Another thing. I doubt that we’ll ever know how many will ultimately be infected with Covid-19. Testing will surely never be 100% and we know that an unknown but very high percentage of the infected ever show symptoms, unlike the seasonal flu.
Without knowing the actual infected totals it is impossible to know the denominator necessary to accurately calculate morbidity rate for Covid-19.
Like I said in another reply, we don’t know what we don’t know.
Best current estimate is around 120,000 deaths when all the smoke clears. A high number, indeed, but hardly the Black Plague.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 05/09/2020 06:38AM by Rams43.
