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Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

May 09, 2020 04:54AM
The rest of a basic math equation.

That estimate of 80% is in line with Johns Hopkins, who say "Depending how contagious an infection is, usually 70% to 90% of a population needs immunity to achieve herd immunity." [www.jhsph.edu]

The current US population is 328.2 million people. If 80% of us get infected that would be a little over 262 million people.

With a morbidity rate of .5% we would see over 1.3 million deaths.

That's what trying to attain herd immunity 'naturally' means: let's get on with life even if it means 1.3 million people will die.

And this is even assuming that herd immunity can be achieved simply by infecting 262 million Americans, which hasn't even been determined. We could lose 1.3 million Americans for nothing.



AlbaNY_Ram



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 05/09/2020 05:02AM by AlbaNY_Ram.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  11/29/2020 49ers v. Rams. There!!!

Ekern55701May 07, 2020 04:51PM

  doubt they will have fans in stadiums

ferragamo79250May 07, 2020 04:52PM

  Re: doubt they will have fans in stadiums

Ekern55240May 07, 2020 04:55PM

  Re: doubt they will have fans in stadiums

Rampage2K-218May 07, 2020 05:03PM

  Here in Maryland

Ram_Ruler259May 07, 2020 05:04PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

Ekern55229May 07, 2020 05:09PM

  Got tix to 2 games already

Ram_Ruler476May 07, 2020 05:10PM

  so that means its gonna work?

ferragamo79215May 07, 2020 06:16PM

  Re: so that means its gonna work?

waterfield198May 07, 2020 06:28PM

  Idk Man I'm just telling you what the article said

Ram_Ruler219May 07, 2020 06:59PM

  Re: Idk Man I'm just telling you what the article said

waterfield256May 08, 2020 12:40PM

  Re: Idk Man I'm just telling you what the article said

Ram_Ruler189May 08, 2020 12:51PM

  keep in mind if they develop a vaccine

ferragamo79278May 08, 2020 01:22PM

  Best of luck to you. Wishing you good health

Ram_Ruler194May 08, 2020 02:10PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

waterfield218May 07, 2020 06:28PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

Rampage2K-256May 07, 2020 06:59PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

AlbaNY_Ram195May 07, 2020 11:36PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

chico n da rams193May 08, 2020 12:20PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

waterfield181May 08, 2020 01:04PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

waterfield186May 08, 2020 12:52PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

Rampage2K-198May 08, 2020 01:30PM

  According to the researchers at University of Maryland

Ram_Ruler198May 08, 2020 02:08PM

  Re: According to the researchers at University of Maryland

Rampage2K-193May 08, 2020 02:13PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

waterfield188May 08, 2020 02:11PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

Rampage2K-188May 08, 2020 02:14PM

  Re: Here in Maryland

zn231May 08, 2020 08:30PM

  Re: Yup (nm)

AlbaNY_Ram171May 09, 2020 06:11AM

  Re: Here in Maryland

zn381May 08, 2020 08:39PM

  Good stuff. thx. nm

max163May 09, 2020 05:55AM

  you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

ferragamo79272May 08, 2020 01:24PM

  and that's IF we can develop natural immunity to covid-19

zn192May 08, 2020 03:10PM

  Re: and that's IF we can develop natural immunity to covid-19

waterfield188May 08, 2020 08:06PM

  Key points

PHDram160May 09, 2020 06:15AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

AlbaNY_Ram207May 09, 2020 04:54AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

Rams43175May 09, 2020 05:48AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

AlbaNY_Ram165May 09, 2020 06:10AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

Rams43145May 09, 2020 06:19AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

zn193May 09, 2020 06:22AM

  Re: Thanks: I didn't know that! (nm)

AlbaNY_Ram191May 09, 2020 06:33AM

  Re: you are not getting herd immunity if such a small percentage is infected

Rams43212May 09, 2020 06:37AM

  For the sake of argument

PHDram277May 09, 2020 08:01AM

  I believe they were testing three strains

Ram_Ruler218May 07, 2020 07:01PM

  Re: doubt they will have fans in stadiums

Classicalwit191May 08, 2020 03:14PM

  doubt that

ferragamo79184May 09, 2020 07:04AM