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What are the odds that Mahomes only gets one TD in the game?
I think you're really bucking the odds that you can hold him out of the endzone so many times. He's too good. So basically when you go first you'd better get a TD or there is huge pressure on your D, and they had to be worn out in the OT, plus they were hurt.
I think the better strategy is to go let KC go first and hope they settle for a FG cause they don't know if they need a TD at that point.
I'll agree with you in so far as that Shanny didn't factor how tired his defense was. They went all all out the first half and i think they were gassed come the 5th quarter. His playcalling inside teh red zone didn't help.
But if the 49ers had stopped that 4th down, we'd be cursing them on this list today.
