Welcome! Log In Create A New Profile

Advanced

here's the problem with those numbers

June 15, 2020 03:57PM
Quote
ramBRO
Quote
zn
Quote
waterfield
It's all out there and if you have an open mind you quickly realize this is by far more dangerous than the "common flu" which we do have an annual vaccine for.

You're right. There is not a single shred of actual scientific data that upholds the wild idea that this is no more dangerous than "the common flu."

A couple of things about this:

1) The typical flu season in the U.S. runs for six months from December through May (peak months December - February).

2) The CDC now believes the first case of the coronavirus was diagnosed January 20th of this year. So, we're almost five months into this.

3) From 2010 - 2017, the CDC estimates that 12K to 79K people have died annually from influenza-related illness.

4) 5 months into the ongoing pandemic, over 115K HAVE died from Covid-19. I suspect that we might surpass 130K deaths by the six-month marker.

The flu numbers are estimated. That is, it is routinely assumed that the REPORTED deaths from flu are too low, so the number gets expanded by means of estimates. The estimated number is always higher than the reported number.

The estimated deaths from covid-19 are also higher than the reported numbers.

BUT whenever anyone compares flu deaths to covid-19 deaths, they compare the HIGHER estimated flu death numbers to the REPORTED covid-19 death numbers.

It's misleading and gives a false picture.

They should be comparing reported deaths to reported deaths, or estimated deaths to estimated deaths.

Comparing estimated flu deaths to reported covid-19 deaths, as I said, gives a completely false picture.

...
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Zeke...Other Cowboys/Texans Tests Positive For Covid-19

ramBRO548June 15, 2020 10:18AM

  Re: Zeke...Other Cowboys/Texans Tests Positive For Covid-19

ramBRO205June 15, 2020 10:26AM

  Re: season in jeopardy....

spagsbacker248June 15, 2020 11:33AM

  This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

RockRam231June 15, 2020 11:46AM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

Rampage2K-216June 15, 2020 12:13PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

waterfield431June 15, 2020 12:50PM

  Re: New Zealand succeeded by a national month long lockdown.

spagsbacker281June 15, 2020 01:49PM

  Re: New Zealand succeeded by a national month long lockdown.

Classicalwit161June 15, 2020 02:59PM

  The difference.

waterfield161June 21, 2020 12:19PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

Rampage2K-205June 15, 2020 02:08PM

  other countries that did it with masks in addition to New Zealand

zn198June 15, 2020 02:58PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

ramBRO170June 15, 2020 01:39PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

Ekern55210June 15, 2020 02:13PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

ramBRO181June 15, 2020 02:26PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

Ekern55160June 15, 2020 02:36PM

  I think people are done with it.. BUT..

sstrams166June 15, 2020 02:50PM

  hospitalizations are up in several states

zn151June 15, 2020 02:59PM

  Yeah, that's true...

sstrams265June 16, 2020 03:57AM

  Re: Yeah, that's true...

zn271June 16, 2020 05:13AM

  Glad to hear..

sstrams222June 16, 2020 06:18AM

  Re: Yeah, that's true...

waterfield166June 16, 2020 08:41AM

  There are times..

sstrams176June 16, 2020 09:32AM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

waterfield164June 15, 2020 03:17PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

zn174June 15, 2020 03:24PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

ramBRO191June 15, 2020 03:45PM

  here's the problem with those numbers

zn150June 15, 2020 03:57PM

  Re: here's the problem with those numbers

ramBRO239June 15, 2020 04:47PM

  gotcha (nm)

zn168June 15, 2020 05:00PM

  the way the chain works

zn338June 15, 2020 03:23PM

  Most of the officials are in high risk group just because of age

NewMexicoRam178June 16, 2020 05:13AM

  Zeke, Cowboys/Texans Tests Positive For Covid-19. 2 Times?

Anonymous User231June 15, 2020 02:03PM

  I want all the Rams to get it now

headslapper228June 15, 2020 03:22PM

  Re: I want all the Rams to get it now

zn406June 15, 2020 03:26PM

  Re: I want all the Rams to get it now

waterfield205June 15, 2020 05:14PM