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Re: here's the problem with those numbers

June 15, 2020 04:47PM
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zn
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ramBRO
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zn
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waterfield
It's all out there and if you have an open mind you quickly realize this is by far more dangerous than the "common flu" which we do have an annual vaccine for.

You're right. There is not a single shred of actual scientific data that upholds the wild idea that this is no more dangerous than "the common flu."

A couple of things about this:

1) The typical flu season in the U.S. runs for six months from December through May (peak months December - February).

2) The CDC now believes the first case of the coronavirus was diagnosed January 20th of this year. So, we're almost five months into this.

3) From 2010 - 2017, the CDC estimates that 12K to 79K people have died annually from influenza-related illness.

4) 5 months into the ongoing pandemic, over 115K HAVE died from Covid-19. I suspect that we might surpass 130K deaths by the six-month marker.

It's misleading and gives a false picture.

They should be comparing reported deaths to reported deaths, or estimated deaths to estimated deaths.

I don't disagree that it can be misleading.

I think the point that I was trying (and, apparently, failing) to make in using the estimated death range was that at worst deaths from Covid-19 are approx. 10X worse than what we might see from the flu. At best, it's almost twice as bad.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Zeke...Other Cowboys/Texans Tests Positive For Covid-19

ramBRO546June 15, 2020 10:18AM

  Re: Zeke...Other Cowboys/Texans Tests Positive For Covid-19

ramBRO205June 15, 2020 10:26AM

  Re: season in jeopardy....

spagsbacker248June 15, 2020 11:33AM

  This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

RockRam231June 15, 2020 11:46AM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

Rampage2K-215June 15, 2020 12:13PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

waterfield428June 15, 2020 12:50PM

  Re: New Zealand succeeded by a national month long lockdown.

spagsbacker281June 15, 2020 01:49PM

  Re: New Zealand succeeded by a national month long lockdown.

Classicalwit160June 15, 2020 02:59PM

  The difference.

waterfield161June 21, 2020 12:19PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

Rampage2K-204June 15, 2020 02:08PM

  other countries that did it with masks in addition to New Zealand

zn197June 15, 2020 02:58PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

ramBRO169June 15, 2020 01:39PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

Ekern55210June 15, 2020 02:13PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

ramBRO181June 15, 2020 02:26PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

Ekern55159June 15, 2020 02:36PM

  I think people are done with it.. BUT..

sstrams164June 15, 2020 02:50PM

  hospitalizations are up in several states

zn150June 15, 2020 02:59PM

  Yeah, that's true...

sstrams265June 16, 2020 03:57AM

  Re: Yeah, that's true...

zn271June 16, 2020 05:13AM

  Glad to hear..

sstrams222June 16, 2020 06:18AM

  Re: Yeah, that's true...

waterfield166June 16, 2020 08:41AM

  There are times..

sstrams176June 16, 2020 09:32AM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

waterfield163June 15, 2020 03:17PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

zn174June 15, 2020 03:24PM

  Re: This is why the real question is how to live with Covid-19, not how to avoid it

ramBRO191June 15, 2020 03:45PM

  here's the problem with those numbers

zn149June 15, 2020 03:57PM

  Re: here's the problem with those numbers

ramBRO238June 15, 2020 04:47PM

  gotcha (nm)

zn167June 15, 2020 05:00PM

  the way the chain works

zn337June 15, 2020 03:23PM

  Most of the officials are in high risk group just because of age

NewMexicoRam177June 16, 2020 05:13AM

  Zeke, Cowboys/Texans Tests Positive For Covid-19. 2 Times?

Anonymous User230June 15, 2020 02:03PM

  I want all the Rams to get it now

headslapper228June 15, 2020 03:22PM

  Re: I want all the Rams to get it now

zn405June 15, 2020 03:26PM

  Re: I want all the Rams to get it now

waterfield205June 15, 2020 05:14PM