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Re: interested party problem--when analysis does not hold up it does not hold up

January 24, 2020 09:25AM
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zn
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dzrams

I get picking apart AW's words since I don't agree with every single thing. Most of what he said I agree with but I do have a disagreement with him on one thing.

Like you, I don't believe that the loss of Sullivan was a negative factor. He was awful towards the end of last year. Allen came in and was no better but it didn't seem like he was worse either.

But other than that quibble, I feel we've got to give a lot of weight to a player's opinion. I'd think a professional like him would know most about how the OL did and how he specifically performed.

I've mentioned before and I'll state again that Whit is on record as saying that he felt this year was his best performance as a Rams. Now that could be argued especially given the penalties but IMO other than the penalties the performing aspect of sacks and pressures allowed he didn't decline much if at all. The talk of him regressing is overblown. Seems like hyperbole to me.

As far as Goff's throw aways, per PFF Goff was tied for 7th among starting QBs. It's not 3rd but it's still pretty high up there.

However, the QB throwing the ball away can't always be pinned on the OL. QB decision making and how he's reading the field is always a factor and sometimes that's the biggest factor. Case in point: 2017 - 2019 Goff.

In 2019, Goff has the 7th most balls thrown away and we're all agreed that the OL was bad.

In 2018, Goff had the 2nd most balls thrown away. It's pretty commonly accepted that the OL was good the first half of the year and bad against physical opponents the 2nd half of the year. IOW, when balanced out the OL in 2018 was about average. Yet Goff almost led the league in throw aways.

In 2017 it is widely accepted that the Rams had a top 5 OL. Where did Goff rank in balls thrown away? 7th! Same as in 2019. Not among the fewest in the league as one would expect if the OL was the primary factor in how often balls were thrown away.

This data (provided by PFF) leads me to believe that it's mostly Goff who is in charge of how often balls get thrown away.

No one is "picking apart" AW's words. He made a simple statement in doesn't hold up in some key ways.

I give weight to opinions that hold up to scrutiny. Otherwise you end up with the fallacy of "argument by authority" which is the idea that just because someone is a so-called authority, we take their arguments at face-value rather than subject them to the same scrutiny all arguments should get.

Players had said all sorts of things over the years. They're interested parties. My bet is that you yourself can think of many times you did not take a player's account of things at face-value. You're too smart for that. So that when Chris Long said Wm. Hayes was one of be besty DEs in the game, did you take that at face value?

When it comes to what AW said.

1. Sullivan was a liability at the end of 2018. I get defending him as a teammate and friend but an interested party is an interested party. Blythe played better at the end of 2019 than Sullivan did at the end of 2018.

So no the Rams OL issues did not boil down to losing Sullivan and yes Sullivan was replaceable by a comparably younger player.

2. Losing Saffold was an issue, no doubt. Which I was saying a long time before this. But then then in the 2nd half of 2019 the OL started 3 newbies, including 2 rookies, and it did better than it did in the first half of 2019, and in fact better than it did in the 2018 superbowl. So no starting newbies is not in itself automatically the sole cause of line woes.

3. AW and Hav both played poorly for the first half of 2019. That does not get mentioned. (Odds are AW would never be seen as criticizing Hav in public).

Lots of different ways what AW says does not hold up.

And I NEVER committ the fallacy of argument by authority. His take on things is as open to scrutiny as anyone elses. Plus of course given the type of team-mater he is, he is not going to be negative about teammates in public. So much of what he says are the expressions of an interested party.

...

I appreciate your stance on AW being an interested party. And on the comments with Sullivan, I fully agree that his comments could be diplomacy for his friend. OTOH, others elsewhere in this thread have made a good point. The centers job is more than just his performance as a blocker; it's also to make the line calls. Maybe some the lack of cohesion and the whole unit being off to start the year was because a youngster was stepping into that role. AW would be uniquely situated to know if that's the case. We wouldn't be.

So my deference to his opinion is more than appealing to authority. It's more appealing to someone who is much closer to the situation and has all of the facts. We claim to do analysis here and it's fun but at our best we'd have to acknowledge that we don't have all of the facts. Case in point: what were the line calls? Who actually did mess up versus who looks like they messed up?

While I take virtually nothing at face value, I will give more weight to certain sources. In this case, apart from the potentially diplomatic statements relating to Sullivan, I think Whit as well as other players or coaches would be best situated to know how Whit himself performed. I will give some weight to a player's opinion on his own performance provided he seems to be grounded or another player's opinion. Not because of authority but because being close they know more and thus are better positioned to provide good analysis.

As far as your three points above, both Whit and I disagree with #3. I do believe Hav played poorly but I don't buy that Whit did. Besides penalties, I didn't see that.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Andrew Whitworth: Rams' struggles boiled down to losing Saffold, Sullivan

RamBill977January 24, 2020 05:29AM

  with all due respect...no they didn't

zn456January 24, 2020 05:31AM

  Yeah, what could that Whitworth guy know?

RockRam347January 24, 2020 05:53AM

  Re: Yeah, what could that Whitworth guy know?

SB34RAMS1282January 24, 2020 06:00AM

  He would know to put a certain spin on things.

zn310January 24, 2020 06:45AM

  Re: He would know to put a certain spin on things.

Rampage2K-250January 24, 2020 07:46AM

  you misread

zn243January 24, 2020 08:04AM

  Re: +++1 on the "weightier opinion"

dzrams174January 24, 2020 08:36AM

  interested party v. analysis

zn166January 24, 2020 08:45AM

  Maybe this will help you.... the actual video of the interview

Rampage2K-177January 24, 2020 08:51AM

  saw it long before this

zn157January 24, 2020 09:02AM

  Re: saw it long before this

Rampage2K-161January 24, 2020 09:38AM

  now you're mishearing AW

zn186January 24, 2020 09:59AM

  Re: now you're mishearing AW

Rampage2K-275January 24, 2020 11:34AM

  Re: now you're mishearing AW

zn151January 24, 2020 12:16PM

  Re: now you're mishearing AW

Rampage2K-248January 24, 2020 12:19PM

  Re: now you're mishearing AW

zn153January 24, 2020 12:40PM

  Run blocking

moklerman150January 24, 2020 09:55AM

  Re: Run blocking

Rampage2K-315January 24, 2020 12:22PM

  Re: Run blocking

zn144January 24, 2020 12:31PM

  Re: I vote to defer to the 13 year vet...

dzrams159January 24, 2020 08:34AM

  interested party problem--when analysis does not hold up it does not hold up

zn154January 24, 2020 08:57AM

  Re: interested party problem--when analysis does not hold up it does not hold up

dzrams156January 24, 2020 09:25AM

  Re: interested party problem--when analysis does not hold up it does not hold up

Rampage2K-162January 24, 2020 09:41AM

  Re: interested party problem--when analysis does not hold up it does not hold up

zn136January 24, 2020 09:44AM

  Re: How about this...

dzrams162January 24, 2020 10:11AM

  Re: How about this...

zn148January 24, 2020 12:46PM

  Re: Enough!

dzrams180January 24, 2020 01:07PM

  On AW..

sacram172January 24, 2020 09:48AM

  yep

zn164January 24, 2020 10:05AM

  Re: On AW..

dzrams181January 24, 2020 10:08AM

  Re: On AW..

sacram247January 24, 2020 11:34AM

  Re: On AW..

dzrams267January 24, 2020 12:04PM

  Re: On AW..

sacram190January 24, 2020 12:56PM

  Re: with all due respect...no they didn't

bigjimram21184January 24, 2020 12:37PM

  Re: with all due respect...no they didn't

zn148January 24, 2020 02:22PM

  Re: with all due respect...no they didn't

bigjimram21279January 25, 2020 07:29AM

  Continuity and youth

no name194January 24, 2020 01:49PM

  obviously a case can be made for Saffold

21Dog318January 24, 2020 05:37AM

  Re: obviously a case can be made for Saffold

zn196January 24, 2020 05:41AM

  Sullivan

Ram_Ruler231January 24, 2020 05:46AM

  Re: Sullivan

zn170January 24, 2020 05:53AM

  That's true

Ram_Ruler150January 24, 2020 06:05AM

  depends

zn164January 24, 2020 06:52AM

  It boiled down to he is old

Rams_81202January 24, 2020 07:19AM

  Re: if only we drafted Lewan instead of G Rob....

spagsbacker160January 24, 2020 07:41AM

  "Boiled down to"

moklerman179January 24, 2020 08:11AM

  Re: "Boiled down to"

zn224January 24, 2020 08:33AM

  Re: "Boiled down to"

moklerman171January 24, 2020 09:35AM

  ssshhhhhh dont tell some posters here that

ferragamo79196January 24, 2020 11:58AM

  Re: Andrew Whitworth: Rams' struggles boiled down to losing Saffold, Sullivan

Classicalwit222January 24, 2020 03:37PM