Quote
jemach
These are areas of need now...
Amazing how other teams find so many OL after round 1.
Plus, find some depth in the free agent market.
Right now, we are not complete on either side of the ball. The greatest area of need on this team right now is the front seven on D, IMO. The draft lines up nicely for BPA and need at 23 for an edge rusher.
First, as I said, it is very rare to find a starting LOT after round 2. I didn;t say OL, I singled out left OT. And in fact I looked. In the period from 2006-2015 (a decade and far enough back to judge) there were 122 OTs taken and out of those, 6 became continuing starters
at LOT--which is 4.9% (I said 5% in the previous post).
So if you want a left OT (and there are good reasons to want one) you need to select him in rounds 1 or 2, though 1 is better.
This is obviously predicated on the idea that there would be someone there worthy of the pick---that goes without saying, unless you think there are a lot of advocates for reaching in the draft (and of course there never are).
When it comes to an edge rusher, round makes little difference. Or rather, to be more precise, you can find guys in rounds 3 and 4. Since it is very rare that a rookie rusher gets more than 8 sacks, usually you are waiting for a guy to develop before he becomes that, in which case round 3 is as good as round 1, since you have to wait either way.
As I pointed out, in 2017, out or 35 defenders who got 8 or more sacks, 1 was a rookie. In 2016, it was 1 out of 30. Neither rookie, btw, was a 1st rounder. 1 was a 4th rounder and 1 was a 3rd rounder.
On OL--the odds of finding a center, a guard, or a right OT are much better after round 2 than finding a left OT.
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Edited 4 time(s). Last edit at 03/24/2018 11:04AM by zn.
