I like Higbee and it's not about his ability. But more and more that 5-game stretch in 2019 looks like the anomaly vs. big things to come. I just think not every receiver is going to see a rise in numbers and that Woods, Kupp, Jefferson and (as long as he stays healthy) Jackson are far more likely to benefit from Stafford.
This from
PFF's Rams fantasy football preview article today:
BUSTS
TE Tyler Higbee
Many are betting that Tyler Higbee will be a fantasy TE1 now that Gerald Everett is out of the way. Sell the hype. The market is overvaluing his 2019 five-game sample instead of looking at what Higbee has been for the rest of his career, functioning basically as a blocking tight end. His 21% pass-blocking snap rate was second among all tight ends. Only Chris Herndon blocked more in 2020.
To make matters worse, Higbee’s decreased threat rate is also extremely alarming. It fell by 40% from 2019, the most among all players. Great players are targeted at a high rate, so Higbee’s dramatic fall is very bad for his outlook.
Also, don’t overlook second-year tight end Brycen Hopkins. He barely played as a rookie, but he profiles as a prototypical pass-catching TE who can deliver splash plays on deep routes. He has the speed to be a mismatch in the passing game, and that could elevate him to a receiving tight end role.
