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Re: That's not shocking...

January 18, 2021 09:23PM
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Rampage2K-
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dzrams
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Rampage2K-
Btw, you could put up Goff's game logs with pretty much all of those QB's in their first five years and be shocked to see Goff has better stats and ratings then most of them and the same inconsistency as most of them too.

Nah, I looked into this about a month ago because it was being spouted out so often. One of these days soon, I'll go dig up what I found but the short version is that Goff's 5th-year stats don't compare favorably to most of the good QBs. His inconsistency on a game to game basis was among the worst.

Nope, Brady and Manning and Brees didn't even break a 100 rating until like year 8.... go back and look not hard to google it

Brees had one year over 100 in his first nine years

Brady didn't break 100 until his 8th year

Manning took 7 years

I previously googled 'em all with the exception of Manning since he's from a previous generation. It's hard to compare the older QBs with the younger ones because QB ratings have been increasing dramatically since Mad Mike and the GSOT changed the game.

For example, in 2000 Brian Griese led the league in QB rating with a 102.9. That would rank 9th in 2020. Kurt Warner was 3rd with a 98.3 which matches exactly Justin Herbert's 12th ranking this year. The median rating in 2000 was Brett Favre's 78.0; this year it was 95.6. If you compare the high and median ratings of 2000 versus 2020, this year's QB ratings are approx. 20% higher. So a 94.7 QB rating from Manning in 2000 is the approximate equivalent of a 113.6 today.

Thus, it's really not all that shocking that Goff's numbers compare favorably to some of the older, all-time greats.

If you want a more accurate picture, look up some of the more modern QBs such as Rivers, Rodgers, and Russel Wilson. Goff doesn't stack up to them.
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