Quote
moklerman

Quote
zn

Quote
moklerman
It's certainly a good place to be but it isn't as rare as it seems. Today's QB's benefit from a lot of rules in their favor. 5.0 TD%/2.5 INT% for example has been accomplished 30 different times in just the last 3 years.

It's still comparatively rare, even these days, because that's a CAREER stat, and he and Wilson are the only modern era young qbs who have done that for their careers so far. And that's even averaging in his bad rookie season, where he got a 2.4% TD percentage and a 3.8% INT percentage. (In comparison Wilson's worst season was 3.8% TDs/ 2.0% INTs in 2016).

Having said that, it's no accident though that all 5 of those qbs are currently active, in the era of the AirBall game.

....

That cuts both ways though. Goff's career is less than 3 years right now so it isn't particularly fair to put his relatively small sample size up against guys with 10 times as many attempts. If we looked at just the last 3 years for all QB's, I'm sure the list would be longer than 5.

"Sample size" is not a real concept in this situation. What he has done to this point is get there sooner than most others. That trumps any other consideration. The criteria are, having BOTH a TD% of 5% at least, and an INT% of 2.5% at worst. (Nothing else is being said here. That's the only thing under discussion.) Warner, good as he was, averaged an INT percentage of 3.9 in his first 3 years as a starter. He had a higher TD percentage but he never really got his INT percentage below 2.5% until 2004, and his career avg. was 3.1%. Goff is on this list after only 3 years in the league and that's with a bad year averaged in.

So just in terms of THIS issue (TD% + INT%) it;s that he got there quickly.

(Not quicker than Wilson though, who was there every year.)



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 05/28/2019 09:13PM by zn.