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PHDram
i think this is an interesting question. conventional wisdom suggests that good teams (i suppose you can define that by winning percentage) will have a better red zone percentage than losing teams. after all, good teams score when they are closer to the end zone, right? but is that really true? of the top teams, the saints, patriots and texans are on that list as one may expect, but nowhere to be seen are the rams, texans, or bears. moreover, teams like the bengals, cardinals, browns, and falcons (who have not been good this year) are high on the list which is counter-intuitive suggesting that perhaps there is no correlation to red zone scoring and winning.
Your logic is saying that because there are bad teams on the list maybe the list doesn't correlate to winning?
If we wanted to correlate the list to wins we need to look at whether winning teams or offenses are on the list not whether some bad teams happened to make it on there too.
I did research a few weeks back and posted it on here...so I'm just going from memory now. But my research discovered that ALL of the top 10 offenses in the league were on the list with the exception of both LA teams.
That suggest to me there is correlation between being a great offense and RZ efficiency.
Another thing: I question your conventional wisdom given that it focused on winning teams rather than the top offenses. A team can have a pretty good offense and still not be a top team which is why I looked at the top 10 offenses.