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RamBill
Should that be a minimum in determining a Hit? ....But then what do you do with a backup QB -- Mannion

Also, should where the player was picked factor in? Should it be a tougher standard for someone picked in the Top 10 vs. the 3rd round?

Gurley and Brown are both starters....if their draft positions were reversed would it change their status? Gurley in the 3rd would obviously be a home run, but Brown's level of play picked at #10 would be characterized as a disappointment.

Right now I'd say Brown would be a hit, but if he were to lose his starting job this year, then it would be a miss. 4 years is a better time period to make a judgement.

Not just back-up qb (though it's hard to judge those unless they play...ie. your back-up qb could count as a hit until he has to play 4 games and then suddenly, he's not.)

I don't count back-up qbs who haven't played. But then not every pick is a hit or a miss. Some can be unknowns.

On what I count as a hit--starters, significant contributors (including but not always all of the following: returner, nickel back, 3rd WR, 2nd RB if he gets a lot of time). I also count guys who never started for you but did start when traded or when he walks in free agency (Gaines).

The "hit percentage" approach is not a grade though. It's just a bottom line. Grades assess quality. So for example, Donald is not just a hit, he's a hall of famer. So I might say, Rams hit on 45% of their picks (made-up number, I didn't really look). Okay. In the mid to high 30% range is average, mid to high 40% range is good, 50% and above is exceptional. But that's just the hit percentage. Then you look at quality. You factor in a high 1st round bust (Robinson) and a mid first round hall of famer into the 45%...what's the grade? It's not bad, but how good IS it? (Grades are more subjective).





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Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 04/15/2018 06:34AM by zn.