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So to be clear, you don't want to win Super Bowls?

April 17, 2024 11:50AM
Because outside of Brady, the vast majority of SB winning QBs are 1st rounders.

Going back to 1999, the only non-first round SB WINNING QBs are:
Warner (1)
Brady (7)
Brad Johnson (1)
Russell Wilson (1)
Nick Foles (1) (although an argument can be made that 1st rounder Wentz got them there)
Brees (33rd pick, just out of 1st round) (1)

So 26 years and 6 QBs.

1st round QBs;
Elway (1) had 1 in 98 as well
Dilfer (1)
Rothlisberger (2)
P. Manning (2)
E. Manning (2)
Rodgers (1)
Flacco (1)
Mahomes (3)
Stafford (1)

12 to 14 SB wins. Throw out the outlier that is Brady (unless you wanna keep drafting 6th round QBs hoping to get another Brady) and its 5 to 14 or almost 3 to 1 in favor of the 1st rounders. I think it actually gets worse the farther back you go.

As far as signing FA QBs, its going to cost a ton, and hoe often do SB capable QBs hit the market? Cousins? No.

21 of the 32 starting QBs last year were 1st rounders.
That makes 11. Of those 11 teams only 5 made the playoffs and the Browns made it with Flacco at the helm, not Watson.



Don't waste your time looking back, you're not going that way. - Ragnar Lothbrok
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Here is why you don't spend 1st rounders on QBs or WRs

RockRam304April 17, 2024 05:40AM

  Did they list the hit rate for other positions?

ferragamo7980April 17, 2024 06:52AM

  Re: Did they list the hit rate for other positions?

Rams4368April 17, 2024 07:23AM

  Not quite. Hit rate apparently depends on the position chosen

RockRam63April 17, 2024 07:33AM

  I'd be interested to see what positions have a safe hit rate

Ram_Ruler50April 17, 2024 07:42AM

  Re: I'd be interested to see what positions have a safe hit rate

cool_hand_luke40April 17, 2024 08:13AM

  Re: I'd be interested to see what positions have a safe hit rate

Ram_Ruler44April 17, 2024 08:19AM

  I meant what is hit rate other position in 1st CB LOT RB etc

ferragamo7942April 17, 2024 08:28AM

  No.

RockRam54April 17, 2024 07:29AM

  also curious of sample size

ferragamo7946April 17, 2024 08:34AM

  makes zero sense

Rampage2K-51April 17, 2024 09:46AM

  Re: Here is why you don't spend 1st rounders on QBs or WRs

kw1339April 17, 2024 10:33AM

  So to be clear, you don't want to win Super Bowls?

Deadpool58April 17, 2024 11:50AM

  C'mon. How many 1st round QB picks were NOT those guys?

RockRam47April 17, 2024 12:10PM

  Re: C'mon. How many 1st round QB picks were NOT those guys?

Rampage2K-44April 17, 2024 12:39PM

  Fair enough, but

Deadpool36April 17, 2024 12:58PM