Re: being realistic
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Well, the Rams playing their starters against the 49ers backups was the reality. Sherman had to leave the game and they were already depleted in the secondary. And, they had nothing to play for and had the 2nd worst record in the league. The only reason Goff was playing was because he'd been struggling so much and they were trying to get him back on track.Quote
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moklerman
165/286(57.7%) 1,853yds(6.48ypa) 7TD(2.4%/8INT(2.8%) 73.7 passer rating
It's funny you would call the SF game "stat-padding." Sounds like a bias. The opposite would be to dismiss the Chicago game.
Objectively, THIS is Kyle Boller. From 2009, his year with the Rams.
98/176 (55.68%) 5.11 YPA, 3 TD, 6 INT, 61.2 qb rating---including no games higher than 75.2.
The difference? Realistically and objectively, no bias, this is a crucial difference:
In 2009, Boller was consistently bad. His qb rating is a true average. His highest games are 75.2, 70.5, and 67.5. His lows were 39.6 and 44.9.
Post-bye in 2018, Goff was up and down. In terms of qb rating, his highs were 121.6, 118.1, and 83.0--the "83" coming in an overtime win in an on-the-road NFC championship game. The lows were 19.1, 57.9, and 68.6.
So watch who you call "Kyle Boller."
Goff was up and down since the bye and since the bye the team went 5-3.
Discussing qbs, nuance IMO is always better than black-n-white declarations. The details in this case do not lend themselves to the conclusion that Goff is on a downward trend. Rather the evidence shows 2 things. One is, he became much more inconsistent (like or not that's not identical to a "downward trend." ) Second is, it was not him alone--all his poorest efforts in that batch of inconsistent games coincided with the OL having problems too.
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As far as the details of this case, we're talking about a half a season's worth of games that Goff's numbers were in the toilet. You're right that there were moments during those 8 games where he made some plays but I think the cumulative total of 8 games is a fair enough look at how he was trending. In terms of games and pass attempts and considering it is his most recent body of work. Something was out of whack.
He had about 26 games of elite level of play and then 8 games of what would have been the 32nd ranked passer rating. Completed less than 58% of his passes, threw more interceptions than touchdowns, his yards per attempt fell below 6.5...those are alarming numbers and downward swings in production as far as I'm concerned. It wasn't like he was facing the 2000 Ravens every week either. One could presume that it was all a matter of circumstance but is that really likely? When you look at a half a season of relative ineptitude and then look at how he performed in the Super Bowl I think it's concerning.
Seems a little late for a sophomore slump but I suppose it's possible considering his unusual path in the NFL so far. But, he hasn't been right for a half a season IMO and it'll be something to keep an eye on next year.
