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Billy_T
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zn
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zn
You can't just compare Joyner in 2018 to what Thomas got in 2017.
Well, I did.
Meaning. It doesn't hold up as a realistic account of contracts. So to put it in different words, while some may say well this or that great player got x amount 5 years ago and no one else should get as much or more unless they're just as great, the market doesn't work that way. So for example JG of SF just got 5.6 M more than Wilson. That's only because JG signed in 2018 and and Wilson in 2015. So my only claim is, the market works this way. We can protest an individual contract all we want, but meanwhile, this is how the market works. Maybe some don't want it to work that way. Okay. But, my only point is, it does.
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But it's not this year for safeties, it would seem. The MLB hit its bump in the road, too. No "market" can keep going up forever, and the concept itself is entirely arbitrary, abstract and groundless to begin with, IMO.
My take is that there are far, far too many variables in play, including the food the agent and GM eats on the day they meet, what part of the day, their amount of sleep, and so on. Too many variables to accurately predict things. I'd bet Eric Reid is thinking about those variables as we speak. Personally, I wish the Rams had signed him and tagged Sammy. But that's all moot, blah blah blah.
Hope all is well --
I have a feeling that that is very one-time and completely artificial. There's buzz out there about that. If I am wrong safety prices will stay deflated. If I am right then next year they bounce back to normal.
You can predict this. With the sole exception of the 2018 safety market, under the new CBA, 2nd contract money goes up year to year. That has so far been true of every position every year except safety in 2018. (In fact it was true of safety last year, when Berry got a 13 M deal.) And as I said it's possible that there are non football reasons for that.
Now IMO if Joyner were out in a free market that was actually functioning as one, he would get something in the 10 M range...it wouldn't match Berry's 13 M, for sure. The reason he got an 11 M tag is because Berry drove the tag average number up.
All IS well. Even the poor post-surgical dog is doing well. Hope you are well.
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Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/11/2018 02:23PM by zn.