The media types did not come out and say Jared was unlikely to be a top QB because he was an Air Raid QB. They bashed him on how he looked lost and condemned him because of it. In his rookie season.
I pointed out simply that historically, even the greatest QBs did not have impact first seasons. You came back with your question on Air Raid QBs, where we all know they have struggled. That is muddying the waters.
Here's an example of what I'm talking about, pulled from another post in a similar conversation on another board. It demonstrates what I'm talking about. If you want to make this all about Air Raid QBs, so be it. But in general, this list of the best QBs to ever play the game shows that you cannot make sweeping determinations on a QB in his rookie season:
Some big names from the best QB ever lists and then Goff, with breakout year being the first year they got over 90 passer rating:
Tom Brady
Physique: good height, skinny build, solid arm
Type QB: Pocket
1st season: limited snaps, 1 of 3 for 6 yards, 42.4 passer rating
2nd season: 2,843 yards, 18 TDs, 12 INTs, 86.5 passer rating
3rd & 4th season: 85.7 & 85.9 passer rating
BREAKOUT YEAR: 4
Joe Montana
Physique: short, skinny build, weak arm
Type QB: Pocket
1st season: limited snaps, 13 of 23 for 96 yards, 81.1 passer rating
2nd season: 1,795 yards, 15 TDs, 9 INTs, 87.8 passer rating
3rd & 4th season: 88.4 & 88.0 passer rating
BREAKOUT YEAR: 5
Payton Manning
Physique: good height, skinny build, solid arm
Type QB: Pocket
1st season: 3,739 yards, 26 TDs, 28 INTs, 71.2 passer rating
2nd season: 4,135 yards, 26 TDs, 16 INTs, 90.7 passer rating
BREAKOUT YEAR: 2
Dan Marino
Physique: good height, average build, strong arm
Type QB: Pocket
1st season: 2,210 yards, 20 TDs, 6 INTs, 96.0 passer rating
2nd season: 5,084 yards, 48 TDs, 17 INTs, 108.9 passer rating
BREAKOUT YEAR: 1 (freak of nature)
Roger Staubach
Physique: good height, average build, strong arm
Type QB: Pocket
1st season: limited snaps, 1 TD, 2 INTs, 69.5 passer rating
2nd season: limited snaps, 2 TDs, 8 INTs, 42.9 passer rating
BREAKOUT YEAR: 3
John Elway
Physique: good height, athletic/physical build, freak arm
Type QB: Pocket (with plus scrambling ability)
1st season: 1,663 yards, 7 TDs, 14 INTs, 54.9 passer rating
2nd season: 2,598 yards, 18 TDs, 15 INTs, 76.8 passer rating
3rd and 4th season: 70.2 & 79.0 passer rating
Brett Farve
Physique: good height, athletic/physical build, strong arm
Type QB: Pocket (with plus scrambling ability)
1st season: limited snaps, 0 TDs, 2 INTs, 0.0 passer rating
2nd season: 3,227 yards, 18 TDs, 13 INTs, 85.3 passer rating
3rd season: 72.5 passer rating
BREAKOUT SEASON: 4
Aaron Rodgers
Physique: good height, athletic/physical build, strong arm
Type QB: Pocket (with plus scrambling ability)
1st season: limited snaps, 0 TDs, 1 INTs, 39.8 passer rating
2nd season: limited snaps, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, 48.2 passer rating
3rd season: limited snaps, 1 TD, 0 INTs, 106 passer rating
BREAKOUT SEASON: 4
Drew Brees
Physique: short, average build, solid arm
Type QB: Pocket
1st season: limited snaps, 1 TD, 0 INTs, 94.8 passer rating
2nd season: 3,284 yards, 17 TDs, 16 INTs. 76.9 passer rating
3rd season: 67.5 passer rating
BREAKOUT SEASON: 4
Jared Goff
Physique: good height, skinny build, strong arm
Type QB: Pocket
1st season: 63.6 passer rating
2nd season: 2385 yards, 16 TDs, 4 INT, 101.5 passer rating (note this was earlier in this season)
BREAKOUT SEASON: 2?
