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Re: I hope your right but

May 10, 2020 06:31PM
Well I looked again and this time, yes, I saw some people (in the medical world) who said 4 years. However, having looked again after being prompted by this discussion, it still looks like the most commonly stated time frame is 12-18 months. The big problem of course will be distribution--it involves millions of people.

In terms of your hypothetical, though--I actually don't understand the question. I mean I get it conceptually, but I don't get why you think it's a real question. For argument's sake, would I wear a mask for 4 years? At that question I can only blink and wonder why you would ask that. Of course I would wear a mask for 4 years. Why wouldn't I? It;s not just that it's right to protect others. It's more than that, In the history of humanity, we've had to endure far far worse things than wearing a mask. I would be too embarrassed in the face of that history to say "no." So, let's say one spirit from our human past says, "I survived the London blitz, even though the city burned around me." Can you imagine me responding to that with this--"cool, in contrast I thought it was asking too much to wear a mask."

Anyway. Here's some sources. I don't know what the truth is, no one does, but it is common to say 12-18 months, for a lot of reasons.

Quote

. [www.mayoclinic.org]

it's unlikely that a COVID-19 vaccine will become available sooner than six months after clinical trials start. Realistically, a vaccine will take 12 to 18 months or longer to develop and test in human clinical trials. And we don't know yet whether an effective vaccine is possible for this virus.

If a vaccine is approved, it will take time to produce, distribute and administer to the global population. Because people have no immunity to COVID-19, it's likely that two vaccinations will be needed, three to four weeks apart.

Quote

. [hub.jhu.edu]
A year to 18 months is very optimistic. Typically, a safe and effective vaccine will take anywhere from 10 to 15 years for development if one is starting from scratch. The good news here is that coronaviruses aren't novel, and there are groups that have already been working on such viruses for a while, especially since the MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV epidemics. So we are not starting from scratch, but even then 18 months is quite optimistic.

Quote

. [www.theguardian.com]
When will we have a Covid-19 vaccine? Public-facing scientists such as the UK’s chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance, and his US counterpart, Anthony Fauci, keep repeating that it won’t be before 12 to 18 months. But other voices – including some of those in the race to create a vaccine themselves – have suggested that it could be as early as June. Who is right?

The former, probably, but it’s complicated because this pandemic is forcing change at almost every step in the process by which a new vaccine arrives at a needle near us. “It really depends on what you mean by ‘having a vaccine’,” says Marian Wentworth, president and CEO of Management Sciences for Health, a Massachusetts-based global not-for-profit organisation that seeks to build resilient health systems, and a long-time observer of vaccine development. “If you mean one that can be used in a mass vaccination campaign, allowing us all to get on with our lives, then 12 to 18 months is probably right.”

Quote

. [www.medicalnewstoday.com]

based on their knowledge and experience, scientists say that developing a coronavirus vaccine:

could take at least a year
might not be possible during the current outbreak
could take 12–18 months

Quote

. [abc11.com]
even with so many vaccine candidates in the works, Fauci has said at the earliest, a vaccine may take 12 to 18 months before it's widely available. While this may seem like unnecessary red tape, researchers say it's the process working properly.









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Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 05/10/2020 06:43PM by zn.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Rams432041May 09, 2020 12:39PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

BigGame81351May 09, 2020 12:43PM

  Re: I don’t know how any thoughtful person

Speed_Kills407May 09, 2020 01:09PM

  I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

ferragamo79541May 09, 2020 01:17PM

  what!!! that’s nuts

Speed_Kills467May 09, 2020 01:43PM

  Re: what!!! that’s nuts

Classicalwit308May 09, 2020 03:36PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

bigjimram21332May 09, 2020 01:53PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

waterfield332May 09, 2020 02:05PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn332May 09, 2020 02:05PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

waterfield345May 09, 2020 02:12PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max407May 09, 2020 03:46PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn348May 09, 2020 04:01PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max301May 09, 2020 04:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn315May 09, 2020 04:32PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max339May 09, 2020 04:39PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

AlbaNY_Ram275May 09, 2020 05:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn320May 09, 2020 05:34PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks Attachments

AlbaNY_Ram433May 09, 2020 06:09PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

k3366May 09, 2020 08:29PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn444May 09, 2020 08:55PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

Classicalwit356May 09, 2020 04:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max368May 09, 2020 04:33PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn378May 09, 2020 04:57PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max282May 09, 2020 05:04PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn308May 09, 2020 05:21PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

Classicalwit272May 09, 2020 04:58PM

  Just curious

Suh-weet!380May 09, 2020 05:19PM

  Re: Just curious

zn313May 09, 2020 05:24PM

  It's both my experience and intuition that....

Suh-weet!285May 09, 2020 06:30PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Speed_Kills318May 09, 2020 05:29PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Rampage2K-327May 09, 2020 06:37PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

zn362May 09, 2020 06:40PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Classicalwit320May 09, 2020 07:35PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

MamaRAMa315May 09, 2020 08:57PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

bigjimram21346May 10, 2020 08:16AM

  okay...

zn320May 10, 2020 08:22AM

  Re: okay...

bigjimram21281May 10, 2020 04:08PM

  Re: okay...

zn282May 10, 2020 04:38PM

  The bigger question

PHDram311May 09, 2020 06:11PM

  LOL my wife went out

ferragamo79246May 11, 2020 05:36AM

  My answer to that

waterfield329May 09, 2020 02:00PM

  Re: Good one Biggame!!!!

oldschoolramfan352May 09, 2020 03:57PM

  Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

RockRam434May 10, 2020 10:46AM

  Re: Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

Rampage2K-324May 10, 2020 11:05AM

  Re: Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

waterfield314May 10, 2020 11:11AM

  how about living in common sense

zn335May 10, 2020 12:06PM

  4 years

PHDram389May 10, 2020 04:14PM

  Re: 4 years

zn288May 10, 2020 04:42PM

  The fastest time to develop a vaccine

PHDram295May 10, 2020 05:06PM

  Re: The fastest time to develop a vaccine

Rampage2K-281May 10, 2020 05:24PM

  I hope your right but

PHDram396May 10, 2020 05:31PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn446May 10, 2020 06:31PM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram268May 10, 2020 10:28PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn290May 11, 2020 03:56AM

  You misunderstand

PHDram307May 11, 2020 04:23AM

  Re: I hope your right but

MOBSQUAD99264May 18, 2020 12:57PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn212May 23, 2020 04:54PM

  Re: I hope your right but

ramBRO283May 11, 2020 05:19AM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram278May 11, 2020 05:47AM

  Re: I hope your right but

Rams43254May 11, 2020 07:26AM

  Re: I hope your right but

ramBRO301May 11, 2020 08:43AM

  empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

LMU93288May 11, 2020 10:27AM

  Re: empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

Rampage2K-300May 11, 2020 10:38AM

  Re: empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

AlbaNY_Ram222May 24, 2020 04:23AM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram286May 11, 2020 01:24PM

  Re: how about living in common sense

bigjimram21325May 10, 2020 04:15PM

  Re: how about living in common sense

zn307May 10, 2020 04:39PM

  No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

RockRam357May 11, 2020 11:58AM

  Nope and don't get personal

zn263May 11, 2020 12:30PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

AlbaNY_Ram278May 11, 2020 01:13PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

Rampage2K-250May 11, 2020 01:28PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

RAMbler266May 11, 2020 02:07PM

  ramsrule is great

PHDram270May 11, 2020 07:31PM

  Re: ramsrule is great

zn288May 12, 2020 07:01AM

  thanks for your opinion

PHDram248May 12, 2020 07:27AM

  you too (nm)

zn241May 12, 2020 07:34AM

  Illustration of importance of masks Attachments

waterfield262May 23, 2020 03:31PM

  Re: perhaps

AlbaNY_Ram279May 12, 2020 08:31AM

  Re: perhaps

PHDram277May 12, 2020 08:52AM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

GroundPounder266May 11, 2020 05:22PM

  Re: hypothetical conversatiom

AlbaNY_Ram277May 11, 2020 07:51PM

  ^^^ This right here! ^^^

RAMbler350May 12, 2020 08:20AM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

waterfield247May 23, 2020 03:21PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Classicalwit312May 09, 2020 03:40PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

ramBRO273May 09, 2020 04:26PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Ramsdude289May 09, 2020 04:34PM

  Re: If everyone does not follow the rules, then it's all a waste of time.....

oldschoolramfan305May 09, 2020 04:08PM

  Re: If everyone does not follow the rules, then it's all a waste of time.....

waterfield279May 09, 2020 08:14PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

SoCalRAMatic320May 10, 2020 04:58AM

  I really wonder how they are gonna open up schools in September

max318May 10, 2020 05:01AM

  One of my many fears!

Ram Fan Teacher297May 11, 2020 08:48AM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

MOBSQUAD99249May 18, 2020 12:58PM