Re: here's the thing about Kelly

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zn
Heck the 2012-and-after Rams have one of the best records in the 3rd round we have ever seen.

From an article:

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Here is one general manager’s bench mark for success: 1st and 2nd round picks: 56%, third round picks 35%. Those numbers are almost identical to the numbers I have compiled (combined 53.05% for 1st and 2nd rounders, 35% for third). So I feel comfortable using this as a baseline for evaluating Roseman’s picks, even if the relative definition of “success” might be different.

According to that, the third round has at best a 35% success rate.

Given those parameters how have the Snead/Fisher & Snead/McVay+Phillips drafts been in the 3rd round?

My criteria? I count only hits. Hits have to be continuing starters, although that can include significant role players (returners, nickelbacks, and so on). If someone is injured or gone for non-football reasons, they don’t count as a hit. If someone is a question mark, they don’t count as a hit. Though non-hits are not the same as busts, either. But that all gets set aside by focusing on the one thing that counts: a hit.

This could change because calling a 2018 pick a hit is premature–we don’t know for example if the guy will just decide he doesn’t like football and walk away. So that one is a projection.

Rams 3rd round picks, 2012-2018.

2012 Trumaine Johnson hit
2013 Stedman Bailey non-football injury
2013 TJ McDonald hit
2014 Tre Mason gone: non-football injury (mental issues)
2015 Sean Mannion ?
2015 Jamon Brown hit
2017 John Johnson hit
2017 Cooper Kupp hit
2018 Joseph Noteboom hit (ie. projected as a future starter)

That’s 6 out of 9 or 67%, which is very good.

Hitting on Noteboom this year is special.


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Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 08/25/2018 06:18PM by zn.