You can look at the Rams since that awful MNF opener and say this:
Defensively, they've allowed 106 points the past 6 games- 17.7 ppg.
Offensively, they've scored 113 points the past 6 games- 18.8 ppg.
(this takes away 3 defensive scores by opponents and 1 by the Rams)
3-3 in those games.
I think the simple fact is that to win more than 3 of their next 6 or 7, or 4 of 9, etc. they have to do three things:
a. not allow any more defensive scores...
b. at least double their pass rush productivity (10 in 7 games, or 1.4/game)
c. have Gurley average 4.0+ YPC over the final 9 games