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Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

May 09, 2020 04:39PM
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waterfield
Correct. No evidence whatsoever that warmer weather will do the trick. The only way we know now is to follow the CDC guidelines.

I don't believe anyone knows, including the CDC. They are all guessing.

I do know that if I was in my 20's I wouldn't be worried much at all.

That's because if you were in your 20s, like me in my 20s, you wouldn't be smart enough to think it's not about you, it;s how you can infect others if you;re a carrier.

One of the things that's really distinguishes this thing is asymptomatic transmission. With this you can be asymptomatic for days, or not even get sick, and you still pass it on. So the fatality rate does not sound so bad taken in itself--but the more people that get infect, the number of fatalities goes up with it. Plus it has a high transmission rate. Higher than the flu. With the flu, which does not include asymptomatic transmission, the transmission rate is 1.5. Every person infected will infect 1.5 others. With covid-19 it could be as high as 6.6. That means if one person gets it then 6.6 can get it from them, then that's 45.56, then that's 287.5...all in a factor of 3.

If the fatality rate really is 1.3 (and that's a low estimate) then when 100 M people get it that's 1.3 M deaths.

And no the CDC is not "guessing." They're keeping up with the science and the numbers on a moving target. That's completely different from "guessing."



...

I agree that I wouldn't be as smart if I was in my 20's. But I would be smart enough not to go near any older people. And I don't trust the CDC as much as you do.

I don't believe the 6.6 number. Actually, I'm gonna wait to see how this thing fleshes out over the next few months before I believe anything. I'm in a hot zone in Fairfield CT, and as of 5/9/20, 98.2% of all fatalities are among people over 60. And none are under 40.

It doesn't matter if you go near older people. You pass it on to someone who passes it on to someone who passes it on to their Dad.

Young people should not be going near their older dads. I'm not big on being responsible for other people infecting old people. I guess you're not big on the Sweden approach.



~ max ~
“The consciousness of good intentions disdains ambiguity.” - Alexander Hamilton
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Rams43992May 09, 2020 12:39PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

BigGame81119May 09, 2020 12:43PM

  Re: I don’t know how any thoughtful person

Speed_Kills163May 09, 2020 01:09PM

  I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

ferragamo79169May 09, 2020 01:17PM

  what!!! that’s nuts

Speed_Kills118May 09, 2020 01:43PM

  Re: what!!! that’s nuts

Classicalwit82May 09, 2020 03:36PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

bigjimram2192May 09, 2020 01:53PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

waterfield91May 09, 2020 02:05PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn106May 09, 2020 02:05PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

waterfield85May 09, 2020 02:12PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max72May 09, 2020 03:46PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn75May 09, 2020 04:01PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max64May 09, 2020 04:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn68May 09, 2020 04:32PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max58May 09, 2020 04:39PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

AlbaNY_Ram51May 09, 2020 05:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn72May 09, 2020 05:34PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks Attachments

AlbaNY_Ram72May 09, 2020 06:09PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

k354May 09, 2020 08:29PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn52May 09, 2020 08:55PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

Classicalwit46May 09, 2020 04:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max44May 09, 2020 04:33PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn49May 09, 2020 04:57PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max50May 09, 2020 05:04PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn61May 09, 2020 05:21PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

Classicalwit42May 09, 2020 04:58PM

  Just curious

Suh-weet!74May 09, 2020 05:19PM

  Re: Just curious

zn63May 09, 2020 05:24PM

  It's both my experience and intuition that....

Suh-weet!46May 09, 2020 06:30PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Speed_Kills62May 09, 2020 05:29PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Rampage2K-63May 09, 2020 06:37PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

zn57May 09, 2020 06:40PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Classicalwit43May 09, 2020 07:35PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

MamaRAMa56May 09, 2020 08:57PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

bigjimram2152May 10, 2020 08:16AM

  okay...

zn79May 10, 2020 08:22AM

  Re: okay...

bigjimram2135May 10, 2020 04:08PM

  Re: okay...

zn40May 10, 2020 04:38PM

  The bigger question

PHDram56May 09, 2020 06:11PM

  LOL my wife went out

ferragamo7936May 11, 2020 05:36AM

  My answer to that

waterfield91May 09, 2020 02:00PM

  Re: Good one Biggame!!!!

oldschoolramfan48May 09, 2020 03:57PM

  Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

RockRam87May 10, 2020 10:46AM

  Re: Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

Rampage2K-69May 10, 2020 11:05AM

  Re: Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

waterfield61May 10, 2020 11:11AM

  how about living in common sense

zn97May 10, 2020 12:06PM

  4 years

PHDram68May 10, 2020 04:14PM

  Re: 4 years

zn61May 10, 2020 04:42PM

  The fastest time to develop a vaccine

PHDram55May 10, 2020 05:06PM

  Re: The fastest time to develop a vaccine

Rampage2K-52May 10, 2020 05:24PM

  I hope your right but

PHDram39May 10, 2020 05:31PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn53May 10, 2020 06:31PM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram36May 10, 2020 10:28PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn43May 11, 2020 03:56AM

  You misunderstand

PHDram36May 11, 2020 04:23AM

  Re: I hope your right but

MOBSQUAD9912May 18, 2020 12:57PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn8May 23, 2020 04:54PM

  Re: I hope your right but

ramBRO48May 11, 2020 05:19AM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram42May 11, 2020 05:47AM

  Re: I hope your right but

Rams4334May 11, 2020 07:26AM

  Re: I hope your right but

ramBRO39May 11, 2020 08:43AM

  empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

LMU9357May 11, 2020 10:27AM

  Re: empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

Rampage2K-32May 11, 2020 10:38AM

  Re: empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

AlbaNY_Ram11May 24, 2020 04:23AM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram29May 11, 2020 01:24PM

  Re: how about living in common sense

bigjimram2154May 10, 2020 04:15PM

  Re: how about living in common sense

zn56May 10, 2020 04:39PM

  No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

RockRam52May 11, 2020 11:58AM

  Nope and don't get personal

zn50May 11, 2020 12:30PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

AlbaNY_Ram47May 11, 2020 01:13PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

Rampage2K-40May 11, 2020 01:28PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

RAMbler37May 11, 2020 02:07PM

  ramsrule is great

PHDram37May 11, 2020 07:31PM

  Re: ramsrule is great

zn41May 12, 2020 07:01AM

  thanks for your opinion

PHDram26May 12, 2020 07:27AM

  you too (nm)

zn16May 12, 2020 07:34AM

  Illustration of importance of masks Attachments

waterfield14May 23, 2020 03:31PM

  Re: perhaps

AlbaNY_Ram33May 12, 2020 08:31AM

  Re: perhaps

PHDram20May 12, 2020 08:52AM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

GroundPounder36May 11, 2020 05:22PM

  Re: hypothetical conversatiom

AlbaNY_Ram46May 11, 2020 07:51PM

  ^^^ This right here! ^^^

RAMbler26May 12, 2020 08:20AM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

waterfield13May 23, 2020 03:21PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Classicalwit58May 09, 2020 03:40PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

ramBRO36May 09, 2020 04:26PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Ramsdude38May 09, 2020 04:34PM

  Re: If everyone does not follow the rules, then it's all a waste of time.....

oldschoolramfan55May 09, 2020 04:08PM

  Re: If everyone does not follow the rules, then it's all a waste of time.....

waterfield53May 09, 2020 08:14PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

SoCalRAMatic64May 10, 2020 04:58AM

  I really wonder how they are gonna open up schools in September

max84May 10, 2020 05:01AM

  One of my many fears!

Ram Fan Teacher58May 11, 2020 08:48AM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

MOBSQUAD9915May 18, 2020 12:58PM