Welcome! Log In Create A New Profile

Advanced

Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

May 09, 2020 04:28PM
Quote
zn
Quote
max
Quote
waterfield
Correct. No evidence whatsoever that warmer weather will do the trick. The only way we know now is to follow the CDC guidelines.

I don't believe anyone knows, including the CDC. They are all guessing.

I do know that if I was in my 20's I wouldn't be worried much at all.

That's because if you were in your 20s, like me in my 20s, you wouldn't be smart enough to think it's not about you, it;s how you can infect others if you;re a carrier.

One of the things that's really distinguishes this thing is asymptomatic transmission. With this you can be asymptomatic for days, or not even get sick, and you still pass it on. So the fatality rate does not sound so bad taken in itself--but the more people that get infect, the number of fatalities goes up with it. Plus it has a high transmission rate. Higher than the flu. With the flu, which does not include asymptomatic transmission, the transmission rate is 1.5. Every person infected will infect 1.5 others. With covid-19 it could be as high as 6.6. That means if one person gets it then 6.6 can get it from them, then that's 45.56, then that's 287.5...all in a factor of 3.

If the fatality rate really is 1.3 (and that's a low estimate) then when 100 M people get it that's 1.3 M deaths.

And no the CDC is not "guessing." They're keeping up with the science and the numbers on a moving target. That's completely different from "guessing."



...

I agree that I wouldn't be as smart if I was in my 20's. But I would be smart enough not to go near any older people. And I don't trust the CDC as much as you do.

I don't believe the 6.6 number. Actually, I'm gonna wait to see how this thing fleshes out over the next few months before I believe anything. I'm in a hot zone in Fairfield CT, and as of 5/9/20, 98.2% of all fatalities are among people over 60. And none are under 40.



~ max ~
“The consciousness of good intentions disdains ambiguity.” - Alexander Hamilton
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Rams43962May 09, 2020 12:39PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

BigGame81117May 09, 2020 12:43PM

  Re: I don’t know how any thoughtful person

Speed_Kills163May 09, 2020 01:09PM

  I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

ferragamo79169May 09, 2020 01:17PM

  what!!! that’s nuts

Speed_Kills117May 09, 2020 01:43PM

  Re: what!!! that’s nuts

Classicalwit82May 09, 2020 03:36PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

bigjimram2192May 09, 2020 01:53PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

waterfield90May 09, 2020 02:05PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn106May 09, 2020 02:05PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

waterfield85May 09, 2020 02:12PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max72May 09, 2020 03:46PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn75May 09, 2020 04:01PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max63May 09, 2020 04:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn68May 09, 2020 04:32PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max57May 09, 2020 04:39PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

AlbaNY_Ram50May 09, 2020 05:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn71May 09, 2020 05:34PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks Attachments

AlbaNY_Ram71May 09, 2020 06:09PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

k353May 09, 2020 08:29PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn50May 09, 2020 08:55PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

Classicalwit46May 09, 2020 04:28PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max43May 09, 2020 04:33PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn47May 09, 2020 04:57PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

max49May 09, 2020 05:04PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

zn60May 09, 2020 05:21PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

Classicalwit41May 09, 2020 04:58PM

  Just curious

Suh-weet!74May 09, 2020 05:19PM

  Re: Just curious

zn61May 09, 2020 05:24PM

  It's both my experience and intuition that....

Suh-weet!45May 09, 2020 06:30PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Speed_Kills61May 09, 2020 05:29PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Rampage2K-61May 09, 2020 06:37PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

zn56May 09, 2020 06:40PM

  Re: hell... what about spreading it

Classicalwit42May 09, 2020 07:35PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

MamaRAMa55May 09, 2020 08:57PM

  Re: I went out to grocery store for first time in 3.5 weeks

bigjimram2151May 10, 2020 08:16AM

  okay...

zn77May 10, 2020 08:22AM

  Re: okay...

bigjimram2135May 10, 2020 04:08PM

  Re: okay...

zn38May 10, 2020 04:38PM

  The bigger question

PHDram54May 09, 2020 06:11PM

  LOL my wife went out

ferragamo7935May 11, 2020 05:36AM

  My answer to that

waterfield91May 09, 2020 02:00PM

  Re: Good one Biggame!!!!

oldschoolramfan48May 09, 2020 03:57PM

  Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

RockRam87May 10, 2020 10:46AM

  Re: Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

Rampage2K-68May 10, 2020 11:05AM

  Re: Because everyone doesn’t lives their lives in fear

waterfield61May 10, 2020 11:11AM

  how about living in common sense

zn96May 10, 2020 12:06PM

  4 years

PHDram67May 10, 2020 04:14PM

  Re: 4 years

zn60May 10, 2020 04:42PM

  The fastest time to develop a vaccine

PHDram54May 10, 2020 05:06PM

  Re: The fastest time to develop a vaccine

Rampage2K-50May 10, 2020 05:24PM

  I hope your right but

PHDram38May 10, 2020 05:31PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn52May 10, 2020 06:31PM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram35May 10, 2020 10:28PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn42May 11, 2020 03:56AM

  You misunderstand

PHDram34May 11, 2020 04:23AM

  Re: I hope your right but

MOBSQUAD9912May 18, 2020 12:57PM

  Re: I hope your right but

zn8May 23, 2020 04:54PM

  Re: I hope your right but

ramBRO47May 11, 2020 05:19AM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram41May 11, 2020 05:47AM

  Re: I hope your right but

Rams4333May 11, 2020 07:26AM

  Re: I hope your right but

ramBRO39May 11, 2020 08:43AM

  empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

LMU9355May 11, 2020 10:27AM

  Re: empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

Rampage2K-31May 11, 2020 10:38AM

  Re: empathy, fear, patience, and understanding.

AlbaNY_Ram10May 24, 2020 04:23AM

  Re: I hope your right but

PHDram28May 11, 2020 01:24PM

  Re: how about living in common sense

bigjimram2154May 10, 2020 04:15PM

  Re: how about living in common sense

zn55May 10, 2020 04:39PM

  No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

RockRam51May 11, 2020 11:58AM

  Nope and don't get personal

zn49May 11, 2020 12:30PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

AlbaNY_Ram46May 11, 2020 01:13PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

Rampage2K-39May 11, 2020 01:28PM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

RAMbler37May 11, 2020 02:07PM

  ramsrule is great

PHDram35May 11, 2020 07:31PM

  Re: ramsrule is great

zn40May 12, 2020 07:01AM

  thanks for your opinion

PHDram25May 12, 2020 07:27AM

  you too (nm)

zn15May 12, 2020 07:34AM

  Illustration of importance of masks Attachments

waterfield12May 23, 2020 03:31PM

  Re: perhaps

AlbaNY_Ram31May 12, 2020 08:31AM

  Re: perhaps

PHDram19May 12, 2020 08:52AM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

GroundPounder34May 11, 2020 05:22PM

  Re: hypothetical conversatiom

AlbaNY_Ram45May 11, 2020 07:51PM

  ^^^ This right here! ^^^

RAMbler25May 12, 2020 08:20AM

  Re: No sir. What you want is for everyone to do what what you want

waterfield13May 23, 2020 03:21PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Classicalwit58May 09, 2020 03:40PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

ramBRO36May 09, 2020 04:26PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

Ramsdude38May 09, 2020 04:34PM

  Re: If everyone does not follow the rules, then it's all a waste of time.....

oldschoolramfan54May 09, 2020 04:08PM

  Re: If everyone does not follow the rules, then it's all a waste of time.....

waterfield53May 09, 2020 08:14PM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

SoCalRAMatic63May 10, 2020 04:58AM

  I really wonder how they are gonna open up schools in September

max82May 10, 2020 05:01AM

  One of my many fears!

Ram Fan Teacher57May 11, 2020 08:48AM

  Re: Good news pointing to a possible NFL season come September...

MOBSQUAD9915May 18, 2020 12:58PM