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Sweden's 'herd immunity' hopes are fading

June 22, 2020 03:35PM
Sweden's 'herd immunity' hopes are fading as only a small fraction of the population has coronavirus antibodies

[www.businessinsider.com]

Just 6.1% of the population of Sweden had developed coronavirus antibodies by late May, a lower measure than some of its health agency's earlier models had predicted.

Unlike most European countries, Sweden did not impose a strict lockdown and kept open schools, restaurants, and bars, relying instead on citizens to enact voluntary social distancing measures.

Sweden did not impose a strict lockdown unlike most European countries and kept open schools, restaurants, and bars, relying instead on citizens to enact voluntary social distancing measures.

Anders Tegnell, the country's chief epidemiologist, admitted that fewer people had developed antibodies than health authorities had predicted.

In April, he told the Financial Times that he expected 40% of people in Stockholm, the capital, to be immune to Covid-19 by the end of May.


Sweden's soft approach to the coronavirus has resulted in only a small portion of the population developing antibodies to the virus. This means the country appears highly unlikely to tackle the virus by achieving herd immunity.

A new study published this week showed that just 6.1% of Sweden's population had developed coronavirus antibodies by late May, a lower measure than some of its health agency's earlier models had predicted.

Sweden did not impose a strict lockdown unlike most European countries and kept open schools, restaurants, and bars, relying instead on citizens to enact voluntary social distancing measures.

Health officials have insisted that is not the specific goal of its approach, which they said is designed to prevent a second wave and slow the virus enough for health services not to become overwhelmed, Reuters reported.

But the country's highly controversial approach has become associated with the herd immunity strategy, given that its government expected a large part of its population to become infected with the disease.

Anders Tegnell, the country's chief epidemiologist, told the Financial Times in April that he expected 40% of people in Stockholm, the capital, to be immune to Covid-19 by the end of May.

But the 6.1% figure shows that it is very far off achieving even partial herd immunity, which epidemiologists expect would require at least 60% of the population to become immune to the coronavirus, according to a New York Times report. Once that proportion of a population is infected, the disease has very low transmission because people with antibodies are immune and do not pass it to others.

"The spread is lower than we have thought but not a lot lower," said Anders Tegnell on Thursday, according to Reuters.

"We have different levels of immunity on different parts of the population at this stage, from 4% to 5% to 20% to 25%."

Sweden's coronavirus death toll surpassed 5,000 this week, meaning its mortality rate per capita is very significantly higher than its neighboring Scandinavian countries as well as one of the highest in the world.







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Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 06/22/2020 03:37PM by zn.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Promising news on vaccine

Rampage2K-205May 30, 2020 06:43AM

  thanks for posting these

ferragamo7940May 30, 2020 01:57PM

  the situation in Italy

zn57June 01, 2020 05:19AM

  How helpful can herd immunity be in ending the coronavirus pandemic?

zn47June 03, 2020 03:21PM

  as of 6/12: surge in hospitalizations in some states

zn100June 12, 2020 10:00AM

  Hospitalization increase rates are the real key.

waterfield48June 12, 2020 07:54PM

  Re: Hospitalization increase rates are the real key.

zn40June 13, 2020 04:09AM

  Re: Hospitalization increase rates are the real key.

zn38June 14, 2020 08:35AM

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zn34June 15, 2020 06:53PM

  6/17

zn36June 17, 2020 06:20AM

  Florida’s surgeon general advises everyone to wear masks

zn26June 22, 2020 07:20PM

  6/24 -- record surges in places all over the USA

zn23June 24, 2020 05:05PM

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zn43June 15, 2020 04:20PM

  Re: flu does not compare to covid-19-- death rates

zn36June 15, 2020 04:25PM

  an example of covid-19 spreading

zn37June 15, 2020 05:01PM

  yes masks work & no they don't pose dangers (I stopped at 5 sources)

zn52June 18, 2020 05:59PM

  You should actually read the studies..

PHDram49June 18, 2020 07:05PM

  the "doubters" are outnumbered

zn52June 18, 2020 08:18PM

  more (masks)

zn28June 19, 2020 09:25AM

  oops that one is controversial turns out

zn23June 19, 2020 12:44PM

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zn31June 20, 2020 06:03AM

  Sweden's 'herd immunity' hopes are fading

zn38June 22, 2020 03:35PM

  Sweden

zn24June 23, 2020 02:22PM

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sstrams31June 23, 2020 05:44AM

  hang in there, good luck.

zn26June 23, 2020 06:30AM

  Re: hang in there, good luck.

zn21June 23, 2020 06:51AM

  Yeah, I know, but people around here..

sstrams35June 23, 2020 06:56AM

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zn27June 23, 2020 10:47AM

  Smart..

sstrams20June 23, 2020 11:29AM

  don't blame them...

LMU9319June 24, 2020 06:37AM

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ferragamo7917June 24, 2020 06:18AM

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zn48June 24, 2020 07:05AM

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zn25June 25, 2020 04:34AM

  Re: Doctors unleash as coronavirus spikes: 'No other country debates masks'

Rampage2K-28June 25, 2020 10:34AM

  masks work (science is like magic except it's real)

zn19June 26, 2020 03:53PM

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zn15June 27, 2020 04:45AM

  Bars closing back down in Texas..

sstrams26June 26, 2020 05:49AM

  Bars ARE shutting down alcohol sales here. ESPECIALLY the Beaches.

Ramgator29June 26, 2020 08:17AM

  Speaking of Beaches, our Fire Dept shut down an entire station.

Ramgator23June 26, 2020 08:20AM

  Flaring up here in Jacksonville BUT........

Ramgator15June 26, 2020 08:24AM

  Re: Flaring up here in Jacksonville BUT........

zn21June 26, 2020 03:52PM

  Re: Bars closing back down in Texas..

waterfield32June 26, 2020 08:54PM

  Yeah, if you've read any..

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zn23June 28, 2020 07:30AM

  I think California closes back down if not

ferragamo7927June 28, 2020 03:28PM

  Jacksonville just made masks mandatory.

Ramgator13June 29, 2020 07:26AM