I think the problem is THEY ARE as good as they think they are

And they expect to just go out and beat teams on autopilot. Then they get caught off guard and have no idea how to dig themselves out. Ask yourself this:

And each one of our losses, you expected them to get it together and pull through even though they looked bad early on, right?

I think they think the same thing. And before they know it they're behind the eight ball and have no idea how to set things right