I agree with your conclusion about the Rams game and all you wrote.
Because 82% of the betting action is on the Patriots, which means the casinos will lose a lot, I think the Rams will be helped to cover and win....
sorry for that take...this world works from the top down...and players are at the bottomAlso, the Saints would have been run over by the Pats. Brees is fading, and their one WR offense is not really working. Brees had such an amazing first 11 games or so, and then, even with a running game, couldnt produce much the rest of the season; the Rams easily held him to 23 points....and that is with a few 4th downs they converted. Brees will fade next year too.
82% is humongous..yet line doesn't move sooo much:
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