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XXXIVwin
Blimey! Codswallop!
I am a huge fan of FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver, but that video was utter “rubbish.” If the Rams lose and go to 4-3 their playoff chances plummet to 18%? No way, no how. Besides, in this video there is no explanation whatsoever behind their calculations— none!
It's most likely a statistical analysis of 4-3 teams throughout history, with no consideration to current teams within the division, their records, injuries, etc.
For example, if the Rams lose they would be tied with Arizona and at most 1/2 game back of Seattle. Granted they'd be behind in the tie breakers with both but with 1 game remaining with each. Even at that they'd be no less than a 33% chance of winning the division imo.
Trust me, if Seattle loses today and drops to 3-3 NO ONE will be saying they have a (less than) 18% chance of making the playoffs.
R.I.P. Nelson aka TonyHunter87 1971 - 2017 far too soon..
Your last words to me: "Your a great guy RFIP. I was very sad when you left the board, and your son, but was glad to see you back. Take care my friend, may God be by your side." 09/09/2017 12:58AM
No Nelson, you were a far better man than I, and I am sure an awesome husband and father as well. I will miss you my friend. -RFIP