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The following table shows the 15 teams with the strongest odds of making the postseason based on a simulation of the season run on September 4, 2017. This simulation differs from the simulation run in Football Outsiders Almanac 2017 because it accounts for preseason injuries and trades.
This simulation accounts for Andrew Luck's injury, giving him increasing probability of returning each week from Week 3 to Week 7. The simulation also accounts for the Ezekiel Elliott suspension but not yet for the Aaron Donald holdout.
The full simulation (or, depending on the Elliott suspension appeal, a new simulation) will be posted when we post preseason DVOA projections on Wednesday, September 6.Odds to Make 2017 Playoffs
1 NE 87.8%
2 PIT 79.6%
3 SEA 65.1%
4 GB 59.6%
5 OAK 49.9%
6 TEN 47.2%
7 CAR 46.3%
8 DAL 45.3%
9 NYG 45.1%
10 KC 43.5%
11 ARI 42.4%
12 ATL 41.4%
13 LARM 38.3%14 BAL 37.5%
15 LACH 37.0%
Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 09/05/2017 04:16AM by LMU93.
