FootballOutsiders: How About Their 2016 Projections ?

Football Outsiders 2016 early projections: Seahawks, Cardinals best two teams in the NFL
by Danny Kelly May 16, 2016

Seahawks fans love Football Outsiders not only because it's has one of the smartest and most predictive metrics out there in DVOA, but it also helps that Seattle has absolutely f*cking dominated in DVOA for the past four years (the Seahawks have finished 1st overall in that metric, which is an efficiency measure that weights everything you should weight, for the past four seasons).

Regardless of Seattle's successes or failures in their statistics, I really do like the DVOA metric a great deal, and I track it closely as the season goes on to help me keep track of which teams are strong for the long run and which teams are just flashes in the pan. Their offseason projections are very cool, and I religiously read the Football Outsiders Almanac each year.

As a preview to that must-read season preview book, the folks over at FO are releasing early predictions for each conference, and their look at the NFC isn't too surprising. In it, they've got Seattle as the top team in the NFL, closely followed by the Cardinals. The standings are slightly different though, based on other factors, particularly Seattle's much more difficult schedule.

NFC West
1. Arizona Cardinals: 12-4 (12.0 mean wins, SOS: 18)
2. Seattle Seahawks: 11-5 (11.2 mean wins, SOS: 3)
3. Los Angeles Rams: 7-9 (7.2 mean wins, SOS: 5)
4. San Francisco 49ers: 4-12 (3.9 mean wins, SOS: 1)
[www.fieldgulls.com]

2016 Football Outsiders Projections Have Los Angeles Rams Going 7-9
If you're buying FO's DVOA projections, the stars are aligning for a familiar sight in the win column for 2016
by 3k May 16, 2016

FWIW, here's their full NFC projections:

1 Arizona Cardinals (12-4)
2 Green Bay Packers (12-4)
3 Dallas Cowboys (10-6)
4 Carolina Panthers (9-7)
5 Seattle Seahawks (11-5)*
6 Minnesota Vikings (9-7)*

7 Detroit Lions (9-7)
8 New Orleans Saints (7-9)
9 Los Angeles Rams (7-9)
10 Atlanta Falcons (7-9)
11 Chicago Bears (7-9)
12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10)
13 New York Giants (6-10)
14 Philadelphia Eagles (6-10)
15 Washington Redskins (6-10)
16 San Francisco 49ers (4-12)
*Wild-card teams
[www.turfshowtimes.com]


2016 PLAYOFF TEAMS TOP 6 SEEDS

Football Outsiders, a statistical site we check out from time to time, has partnered with ESPN to give their 2016 NFL Predictions. They use their DVOA ratings for the past three years, other stats, variables, analytics, moneyball type rigmarole and probably a giant-sized super computer to project the record of every team in the NFL.

On Wednesday they revealed their AFC predictions so here are their projected playoff teams.

1. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
3. New England Patriots (10-6)
4. Houston Texans (8-8)
5. Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)*
6. Baltimore Ravens (10-6)*

And then on Thursday it was the NFC's turn to get in on the fun.

1. Arizona Cardinals (12-4)
2. Green Bay Packers (12-4)
3. Dallas Cowboys (10-6)
4. Carolina Panthers (9-7)
5. Seattle Seahawks (11-5)*
6. Minnesota Vikings (9-7)*
[www.windycitygridiron.com]


Football Outsiders: The Jets Stink
Apparently the guys over at Football Outsiders are not Jets fans. Poor benighted souls.
by Smackdad May 11, 2016

1. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
3. New England Patriots (10-6)
4. Houston Texans (8-8)
5. Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)*
6. Baltimore Ravens (10-6)*

7. Buffalo Bills (9-7)
8. San Diego Chargers (8-8)
9. Jacksonville Jaguars (7-9)
10. Denver Broncos (7-9)
11. Indianapolis Colts (7-9)
12. Tennessee Titans (7-9)
13. Oakland Raiders (6-10)
14. New York Jets (6-10)
15. Miami Dolphins (5-11)
16. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
*Wild-card teams
[www.ganggreennation.com]