Welcome! Log In Create A New Profile

Advanced

FootballOutsiders: DVOA by routes (receivers). And is Tavon Austin good at anything?

August 09, 2017 05:26AM
You can read the whole thing in the link below but I'll just note some interesting mentions and Rams and Redskins (McVay) players:
[www.footballoutsiders.com]

"We picked 12 of the most common routes where at least a few players had a double-digit number of targets. We also didn't want to break things up by wide receivers, tight ends, and running backs due to sample size issues. For example, is it really that noteworthy that there were 51 slants by running backs last year, and only David Johnson (nine) and Le'Veon Bell (six) had more than four such plays? Versatile players at those positions are able to line up and run routes from anywhere on the field, so we'll just celebrate that here as a few backs and tight ends will show up in the numbers."

Curl route:
- Pierre Garcon was 4th in the league, with 27 attempts thrown to him on curls and 20 receptions.
- "On a similar note, lousy quarterback play for the Rams (Case Keenum and Jared Goff) did not help Kenny Britt (-52 DYAR) and Tavon Austin (-47 DYAR) on curls last season. They ranked in the bottom four in DYAR as well. The fact that Austin did that on just seven targets is crazy, especially when only one of those was a Goff target (Austin's only positive gain on a curl all season)."

Out route:
- Note that TE Jordan Reed had 20 passes thrown to him on outs (tied for 16th in the NFL), catching 15 (75%).
- "We practically never say anything nice about the 2016 Rams' passing game, but here's a chance to do so. The biggest DYAR gain on an out route in 2016 was the time that Case Keenum completed a 65-yard touchdown to Brian Quick, who gained 52 yards after the catch against the Cardinals in Week 4. It was a deep out route against Marcus Cooper, and Quick broke a tackle too. The play was worth 34 DYAR, which makes it even more remarkable that Quick finished with -17 DYAR on his 20 out routes last season. He only caught 47.4 percent of his out routes, which is only higher than Denver's Emmanuel Sanders (44.4 percent) in our table."

Dig route:
- Only note here is that no Redskins appear on this list, so probably not a very big part of McVay's offense.

Slant route:
- Same, no Redskins.
- "Brian Quick had a league-low -39 DYAR on just eight slants, so go Rams. No one brings up the rear better."

Go/Fly route:
- "DeSean Jackson will hope to improve the deep passing game in Tampa Bay this year. He only caught 20 percent of his go routes last year, but so did Mike Evans. The difference was that Jackson produced 85 DYAR to just 9 DYAR for Evans. That was due to the four penalties Jackson helped draw for defensive pass interference. Those "hidden yards" helped produce 145 yards and four first downs for his offense."

WR screen:
- "Some of the players thought to have the best skill set for these plays were allowed to execute them often, but note that the bottom three in DYAR consists of Tavon Austin (-74), Jarvis Landry (-64), and Tyreek Hill (-58). They all produced a below-average amount of YAC on these plays. At some point, these plays became far too predictable in those offenses, and everyone knew exactly which player would be on the receiving end of them."

Post route:
- The Redskins' Jackson and Garcon combined for 19 post routes, catching 12. "This was also a very productive play in Washington's offense with Jackson and Pierre Garcon racking up 155 DYAR on 19 targets."

Fade route:
- Just here their overall comment is interesting, "We move onto everyone's most hated red zone strategy: the fade pass. Unless you have Peyton Manning throwing a low-arching ball on a rope to Marvin Harrison, this has never seemed like a good tactic. The stats aren't very fond of it either in 2016. On 478 fades, only 33.0 percent were completed, with -12.3% DVOA."

Seam route:
- Note: I'm just surprised Jordan Reed doesn't show up on this list.

And now on the $42M man.....
- "We began this study with a look at Julio Jones, the DYAR leader in 2016. We are going to end our look at receivers with a similar breakdown for Tavon Austin, the bottom-ranked wide receiver with an astonishing -219 DYAR. We mentioned Austin a few times already, but he could have been mentioned for a lot of these routes as one of the bottom players in DYAR."
- "Well, the good news is the corner route worked out (29 DYAR on five targets). The bad news is the corner route was cut from our article as a 13th route type, because no one had even 10 such targets in the NFL last season. It has been four seasons already and we are waiting to see what Austin is actually good at as a wide receiver in this league."



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 08/09/2017 05:27AM by LMU93.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  FootballOutsiders: DVOA by routes (receivers). And is Tavon Austin good at anything?

LMU93516August 09, 2017 05:26AM

  Austin (probably) has 2 years to make an impact.

RamFanEsq178August 09, 2017 05:36AM

  Re: Austin (probably) has 2 years to make an impact.

Rams43179August 09, 2017 05:49AM

  Re: Austin (probably) has 2 years to make an impact.

LMU93218August 09, 2017 06:08AM

  Austin's potential dead money in 2018 is not significant

AlbaNY_Ram204August 09, 2017 06:17AM

  Re: Austin's potential dead money in 2018 is not significant

RamFanEsq170August 09, 2017 06:21AM

  Re: FootballOutsiders: DVOA by routes (receivers). And is Tavon Austin good at anything?

Rams43192August 09, 2017 05:38AM

  Re: FootballOutsiders: DVOA by routes (receivers). And is Tavon Austin good at anything?

Steve223August 09, 2017 06:25AM

  Innovative Statistics

snowman233August 09, 2017 06:30AM