FootballOutsiders: Free Agency Cost-Benefit Analysis

[www.footballoutsiders.com]

Interesting look. Basic takeaway is based on this Football Outsiders views the Woods, Whitworth and especially Barwin contracts as good value. On Barwin: "I'm really, really high on Connor Barwin for the upcoming season. Miscast as a 4-3 defensive end in Philadelphia last season, he gets to kick back out to 3-4 linebacker in Los Angeles. He also gets to work with Wade Phillips, who has magic defensive turnaround powers. I'd be shocked if he has five or fewer sacks again this season, barring injury."

And maybe the Rams are right after all not to give Johnson a long-term, big $$ deal. Note that all the DB contracts averaging $10m+ are rated here as bad value.

"Simply signing the biggest names to the biggest deals very rarely ends up paying off. Competing in the NFL in the salary cap era is all about getting the most value out of your dollar, whether that's through finding that budget free agent which fits your scheme perfectly, extending a player who is about to take the next step under your coaching, or taking advantage of cheaper rookie contracts to fill out your lineup. It's alright to take a risk on a questionable contract every now and again, but the very best teams, the teams that contend year after year, don't make a habit of it."



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 03/28/2017 09:02AM by LMU93.