February 24, 2021 07:14AM | Registered: 7 years ago Posts: 16,078
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dz, did you just say that most qbs don't make it to the final 4?
Did we need research for that?
That's not how to calculate this.
For one thing, your only factor is the qb--which is a big distortion of how the NFL works (coach, defense, OL, skill players). If you were a GM you would not stop calculating this after you decided who the qb was.
For another, the way to calculate this is to look at who is in the final 4. What percentage of the qbs in that situtation meet what categories? And even then you have to account for a distortion. Do the final 4 across the last 10 years and subtract the big exception--Brady, the big distortion (because he is such a huge expection to everything). What do numbers show then?
I have not done the hard work on this but calculated that way they show that teams with top contract tier 1 qbs are about 25% of the total who make it.
I think the way you set up your study guaranteed a certain outcome. But I think there are flaws in the way you set it up.
(And that's leaving out the fact that "tier 1/tier 2" is an arbitrary designation because
players change across time. For example Stafford was not playing at a tier 1 level in his 5th year and at that point there was no guarantee he would.)
....
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Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 02/24/2021 07:35AM by zn.
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