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spagsbacker
we rarely hit on 4th rd guys....B Allen, G Gaines, Reynolds, Higgle, Pharaoh Cooper, A Donnal, JFM. Sure there are a few guys that are minor contributors, but honestly nobody so great. However, we do uncover some really good players in the 2nd rd, so I prefer a small move up to grab a guy we really like, instead of another drop down. I know that is asking a lot...for Snead to just sit back and not get cute with trading, but if he does move, I prefer a move up to get someone we really like.
I'm with your overall message that it's much more preferable to not trade back for 4ths.
Snead doesn't stay put so we know he will trade back and/or up several times. He's going to move around to get in the right range for targeted players. Given this, I feel it would be much better to get a late 3rd if he's moving back from 52. They've had great success with 3rd round picks too.
IMO, the goal should be to get 4 picks around the top 100.