Rams vs. Seahawks line has dropped to pick-’em
| December 05, 2019 03:34PM |
Here’s why the Rams vs. Seahawks line has dropped to pick-’em
By JEFF FOGLE
DEC. 5, 2019
Sports bettors in Las Vegas have been backing the Rams in Sunday night’s NFC West showdown against the Seattle Seahawks.
An opening line of Seattle -2.5 had dropped to pick-’em by late Wednesday.
Though 2.5 points may seem like a major move, it’s not quite as big as it sounds. Final victory margins of one and two points are relatively uncommon in pro football.
They happen, but not as much as combinations of field goals and touchdowns.
A move from -2.5 to -5 would be huge because it would blow through the most important betting number of 3.
Same for a line move from -5 to -7.5, which crosses the 7, or even -9 to -11.5, soaring past 10. Las Vegas saw Rams interest, but wasn’t necessarily flooded with Rams money.
Sharps, or professional gamblers, are known to aggressively attack certain numbers in six-point teasers, a popular proposition bet in Vegas. With these, you get to move the line six points in your favor on multiple options.
But you have to sweep all your choices at the adjusted lines to win the bet.
Sharps learned at least 30 years ago that moving an underdog from +1.5, +2 or +2.5 up past the key numbers of 3 and 7 to +7.5, +8 or +8.5 was a great strategy for spotting the best possibilities.
Sports book managers knew early sentiment on the Rams just below a field goal meant there would soon be passion from sharps betting teasers.
They quickly defended against that option.
This is also why you’ll see favorites of -7.5 jump to -9 quickly, because sports books don’t want teaser bettors crossing both the 3 and 7 from the other direction.
Monitor NFL markets through the weekend for a better sense of Rams interest. Should the Rams become the favorite, that would be more significant.
If Seattle money starts to show, sports books will have to decide how they want to manage risk between straight and teaser exposure.
[www.latimes.com]
The Line dropped because betters know the match-up history & somebody woke up last week
By JEFF FOGLE
DEC. 5, 2019
Sports bettors in Las Vegas have been backing the Rams in Sunday night’s NFC West showdown against the Seattle Seahawks.
An opening line of Seattle -2.5 had dropped to pick-’em by late Wednesday.
Though 2.5 points may seem like a major move, it’s not quite as big as it sounds. Final victory margins of one and two points are relatively uncommon in pro football.
They happen, but not as much as combinations of field goals and touchdowns.
A move from -2.5 to -5 would be huge because it would blow through the most important betting number of 3.
Same for a line move from -5 to -7.5, which crosses the 7, or even -9 to -11.5, soaring past 10. Las Vegas saw Rams interest, but wasn’t necessarily flooded with Rams money.
Sharps, or professional gamblers, are known to aggressively attack certain numbers in six-point teasers, a popular proposition bet in Vegas. With these, you get to move the line six points in your favor on multiple options.
But you have to sweep all your choices at the adjusted lines to win the bet.
Sharps learned at least 30 years ago that moving an underdog from +1.5, +2 or +2.5 up past the key numbers of 3 and 7 to +7.5, +8 or +8.5 was a great strategy for spotting the best possibilities.
Sports book managers knew early sentiment on the Rams just below a field goal meant there would soon be passion from sharps betting teasers.
They quickly defended against that option.
This is also why you’ll see favorites of -7.5 jump to -9 quickly, because sports books don’t want teaser bettors crossing both the 3 and 7 from the other direction.
Monitor NFL markets through the weekend for a better sense of Rams interest. Should the Rams become the favorite, that would be more significant.
If Seattle money starts to show, sports books will have to decide how they want to manage risk between straight and teaser exposure.
[www.latimes.com]
The Line dropped because betters know the match-up history & somebody woke up last week
| Subject | Author | Views | Posted |
|---|---|---|---|
 | Ramgator | 262 | December 05, 2019 07:28AM |
| oldschoolramfan | 139 | December 05, 2019 09:33AM |
| alyoshamucci | 89 | December 05, 2019 03:20PM |
| Anonymous User | 253 | December 05, 2019 03:34PM |
