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PHDram
well you did title the post being realistic...so lets cut the hyperbole and be realistic.
Actually, no, I didn't. I responded to that titled post.
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PHDram
not exactly sure which 8 ram stretch you are referring to...i calculated the final 8 games (including playoffs) as a qb rating of 77.3. that number is driven by the chicago game in which he had a qb rating of 19.1 I didnt check but i would assume the worst game of hos career). if you exclude that game its 85.6. for the season he had an average qb rating of 96.7. In any event, i agree he was better in the early part of the season then then latter, its just not quite as drastic as you suggest.
The numbers I used were for the last 8 games and I provided them. If you feel I made an error in compiling them please provide your numbers. Attempts, completions, that sort of thing. As to the last 8 games I used that for a couple of reasons. First, it's a relatively decent sample size. Not anything conclusive, mind you but a decent enough snapshot. A half a season is a reasonable time frame to see how someone's playing. Second, it came after the bye. For whatever reason, something changed at that point. Third, I didn't exclude any games good or bad. The Chicago game may have been an outlier but if we're going to start making judgment calls about which games to exclude, I'd have to also remove the 16th game against the 49ers too and it just becomes a mess. As with many things in football, the numbers find a settling point and the Bears game and 49ers game balance each other out.
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PHDram
so why could that be?
1. goff didnt play as well
2. the line (particularly the interior) did not block as well.
3. gurley was injured
4. kupp was injured.
5. mcvay failed to adjust.
6. the rams played better defenses in the latter 8 games.
to me the beauty of football is that its the ultimate team game. consequently, i think all of these things contributed to goff be less effective but its difficult to put a percent on it.
I agree and I assumed it as a given that many factors contribute to how a player is playing. Are you suggesting that those factors are responsible for the dropoff? I am inferring it from your list. 1. The numbers certainly suggest that to be true. 2. That is a possibility but the numbers don't really support it. The sack % and rushing seemed relatively in tact throughout the season. 3. I would agree that losing Gurley wasn't a plus but was the dropoff from Gurley to Anderson so great that it affected the passing game that much? 4. Reynolds was a step down from Kupp for sure but I actually thought it would lead to Goff improving. He seemed to be getting a little tunnel visioned for Kupp at times and there's no shame in getting it to Woods or Cooks, etc. 5. Not sure how to measure that. McVay's career seems to be a relative constant though. His passing game has worked for a long time now. Is it more likely that the rest of the league just now figured out how to shut him down or that they took away the communication gadget that allowed Goff to jump into the stratosphere overnight? 6. As a blanket statement, I'd agree. A playoff run is obviously going to be tougher. But the Saints, for example, weren't an uncommon opponent and the numbers are much different.
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PHDram
nevertheless, with all these things going on, the rams still had a very successful season and made the superbowl. you dont win football games with qb ratings. you win by scoring more points and that is what the rams did. moreover, goff is not a finished product. in fact, he probably should be hitting his stride in years 4, 5, and 6. thus he is likely to improve on some of his deficiencies, as will mcvay (hopefully). to me, im very optimistic about this team with goff at the helm.
I don't understand your argument here. No one's saying the team didn't do well overall and I think I was clear in what I was looking at. Goff's numbers took a significant nose dive after the bye and then remained there. To go from MVP candidate and the game he had against the Chiefs to what he looked like in the SB is reason for examination. Goff HAS to be a part of that conversation and IMO, the rest isn't critical enough to transform his level of play the way that it did.
