Seems to me that if you're an expert at analyzing football games you should be better than average at assessing who is gonna win.
So far this year the favorites have won 65% of their games. So anyone can just pick the favorites and get to 65%. Now what about the football experts we see and hear from, how have they done?
Here are a few of them.
LaCanfora 56%
Phil Simms 57%
Peter King 58%
Collingsworth 62%
On top of that there is Nate Silver's supposedly terrific stat analysis site FiveThirtyEight. They can't even get to average with 63%.
The big takeaway for all of us should be that when a guy like Simms or even Collingsworth says a team is gonna win, we should realize his guess is no better than average.
~ max ~
“The consciousness of good intentions disdains ambiguity.” - Alexander Hamilton
Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 11/17/2017 06:42AM by max.
