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Re: That's not a good representation at all..

August 16, 2017 03:35PM
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laram
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dzrams
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TonyHunter87
Every time Donald gets a sack or makes a tackle he has the change to cause a fumble, but he doesn't. I know it seems like nitpicking but to me a player as great as Aaron would have more than 4 forced fumbles in 3 seasons.

It's different from Revis, who didn't get an opportunity to get picks because opposing teams didn't throw his way. But that's just the way i look at it.

I've heard this charge that great DT's should force a lot of fumbles. So I did some research to see how AD stacks up against the best DTs of all time.

I got the list of 30 best DTs of all time from Gil Brandt's article published 6/29/17. Link here: Top 30 Greatest DTs

Many of the great DTs in the top 10 played before the 1970s when stats started being kept. For that reason, I didn't include them in the comparison.


John Randle 29 FF in 14 seasons - 2.07 avg.
Ray Childress 19 FF in 12 seasons - 1.58 avg.
Sapp 19 FF in 13 seasons - 1.46 avg.
Aaron Donald - 4 FF in 3 seasons - 1.333 avg.
La'Roi Glover 16 FF in 13 seasons - 1.23 avg.
Cortez Kennedy 11 FF in 11 seasons - 1 avg.
Curley Culp 14 FF in 14 seasons - 1 avg.
Bryant Young 12 FF in 14 seasons - .86 avg.
Haloti Ngata 6 FF in 11 seasons - .55 avg.
Richard Seymour 4 FF in 12 seasons - .33 avg.


Aaron Donald comes in 4th in most average forced fumbles per year. If he had any more than 4 in 3 seasons, he would be on the greatest ever pace for forced fumbles.

But the larger point is, as you can see, DTs don't typically create many forced fumbles. My theory for that is that DTs are the closest to the QB and directly in their line of sight. There isn't a lot of surprise factor when they get sacks.

OTOH, DE's are often coming in from the QBs blind side. There is a much higher possibility in those circumstances of swatting the ball out.

FWIW, AD is near the top in amount of sacks per year too. He's above Sapp and a tick behind Randle. I haven't done calculations for all of the DTs yet and may never do that but a cursory glance tells me that he's on a top 3 of all time pace.

You essentially have ONE 3-tech DT on the list and only Sapp and Donald as 3-tech (penetrating disruptive DT's) played in the passing era.

Its a distorted view and I resist it. lol

Ok big guy give me some names. And if you really have a problem with the list, talk to Gil Brandt.

What you're really unwittingly (or maybe wittingly) acknowledging is the rarity of an elite pass rushing DT. It says something that we haven't seen a great one since Sapp retired which was a decade ago.

P.S. I'll give you another name who I just remembered. He's not an all time great however.

D'Marco Farr, 12 FF in 7 seasons - 1.71 avg.

Gil Brandt was a Ryan Leaf fan too! lol

Nope I resist the claim that we have not seen that many great dt's since Sapp and that they are rare.

Kawann Short and Geno Atkins are pretty good.

Suh is great Fletcher Cox, Linvall Joseph, Damon Harrison.

Watch out for the Whiners they got some young studs upfront too.

Of course "great" is subjective but IMO THIS is great...

J.J. Watt has 69 sacks and 15 forced fumbles over the past four seasons!

And he plays inside a LOT!

The greatest to come along in a looooooong time!

Well whether you admit that pass rushing DTs are rare or not, what is clear is that they generally do not force many fumbles.

Here are the stats for your guys:

J.J. Watt 15 FF in 5 seasons - 3.0 avg.
Kawann Short 6 FF in 4 seasons - 1.50 avg.
Aaron Donald - 4 FF in 3 seasons - 1.333 avg.
Fletcher Cox 6 FF in 5 seasons - 1.2 avg.
Geno Atkins 8 FF in 7 seasons - 1.14 avg.
Linval Joseph 6 FF in 7 seasons - .86 avg.
Damon Harrison 2 FF in 5 seasons - .40 avg.
Ndamukong Suh 2 FF in 7 seasons - .29 avg.

Which one is much different than the other? JJ Watt is listed as a DE and his sacks and FF numbers are in line with what a typical great DE produces. Unless we have a breakdown of how many snaps inside he plays, the evidence points to him being a DE not a DT. I can agree that Watt is one of the greatest DE's to come in a long time....

Among DTs, modern and all time greats, Aaron Donald ranks near the top in sacks per year, stuffs, and forced fumbles. And in the modern age, he obliterates his peers in pressures.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

  Should Aaron Donald be on

napoli1103August 15, 2017 10:54AM

  All in on a trade

TonyHunter87445August 15, 2017 12:15PM

  Donald is a difference maker but cannot let one guy hold the team hostage

GreatRamNTheSky404August 15, 2017 12:52PM

  Re: All in on a trade

Anonymous User472August 15, 2017 04:38PM

  Yeah I heard this same "logic" with Revis

RFIP328August 15, 2017 05:01PM

  That's different

TonyHunter87282August 15, 2017 05:09PM

  Re: But is it really?

dzrams302August 15, 2017 06:22PM

  good work thanks

zn293August 15, 2017 06:40PM

  Re: good work thanks

Ramdom241August 17, 2017 09:03AM

  Forced fumbles, as you point out are not good metric for DTs

Blue and Gold281August 15, 2017 09:00PM

  Re: Forced fumbles, as you point out are not good metric for DTs

TonyHunter87399August 15, 2017 09:06PM

  I could live with a trade if we got great value

Blue and Gold287August 15, 2017 11:10PM

  Also it looks like Attachments

Blue and Gold288August 15, 2017 11:18PM

  Re: Also it looks like

dzrams328August 15, 2017 11:22PM

  I would agree there

Blue and Gold254August 16, 2017 10:17AM

  Re: That's not a good representation at all..

laram462August 16, 2017 10:10AM

  Re: That's not a good representation at all..

dzrams239August 16, 2017 11:08AM

  Re: That's not a good representation at all..

laram290August 16, 2017 02:11PM

  Re: That's not a good representation at all..

dzrams279August 16, 2017 03:35PM

  99% right, just one quibble

Blue and Gold291August 16, 2017 03:45PM

  Re: Found some numbers...

dzrams429August 16, 2017 04:07PM

  Interesting

Blue and Gold319August 16, 2017 07:48PM

  Re: dz....

laram247August 16, 2017 03:56PM

  Re: Ah ok...

dzrams222August 16, 2017 04:10PM

  Re:Fair enough padna...NM

laram242August 17, 2017 08:31AM

  I'll say this...

Rams43472August 16, 2017 10:04AM

  Re: yes absolutely hes still a Ram

Speed_Kills374August 15, 2017 01:08PM

  Re:Question

VANRAM339August 15, 2017 03:00PM

  Re: Re:Question

dzrams294August 15, 2017 03:02PM

  Re: thanks nm

VANRAM479August 15, 2017 04:06PM